WWPS21 NFFN 110000 CCA

Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Dec 110101 UTC.

TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TD03F CENTER [1004HPA] WAS ANALYSED NEAR 09.0S
164E AT 102200UTC SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON HIMAWARI-9
VIS/IR IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. 

THE DISTURBANCE LIES UNDER STRONG UPPER DIVERGENCE, LOW SHEAR WITH
GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW. SST AROUND 30 DEGREES CELSIUS. THE SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO BE STEERED TO THE SOUTHEAST BY THE NEAR EQUATORIAL RIDGE.

GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND MOVE IT SOUTHEASTWARDS
WITH SOME INTENSIFICATION.

THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IS
LOW AND MODERATE AFTER 48HRS.
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NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE
AREA.