WDPN31 PGTW 060300

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//

SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05W (FIVE) WARNING

NR 002//

RMKS/

1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.

2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.



SUMMARY:

   INITIAL POSITION: 7.3N 146.8E

   INITIAL INTENSITY: 35 KTS

   GEOGRAPHIC REFERENCE: 379 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF HAGATNA, GUAM

   MOVEMENT PAST 6 HOURS: WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 11 KTS

   SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT: 15 FEET



SATELLITE ANALYSIS, INITIAL POSITION AND INTENSITY DISCUSSION:

ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS DEEP

CONVECTION CONFINED TO THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A LOW-LEVEL

CIRCULATION THAT IS CURRENTLY NEARLY FULLY EXPOSED DUE TO

PERSISTENT WESTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND INTRUSION OF RELATIVELY

DRIER AIR FROM THE SURROUNDING ENVIRONMENT. ASCAT SCATTEROMETER