FXUS66 KHNX 200501

AFDHNX



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Hanford CA

1001 PM PDT Thu Mar 19 2026





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.KEY MESSAGES...

1. A warming trend will continue this week with afternoon 

temperatures approaching 20 to 25 degrees above average today 

through Saturday.



2. Daily and monthly record high maximum temperatures will

continue to be challenged Friday.



3. Temperatures drop on Sunday but will remain above average

through much of next week.



4. Practice cold water safety, as waterways will be running 

cold and fast over the next several days.





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.DISCUSSION...

More record temperatures were broken Thursday but many spots

backed off a degree or two from Wednesday's record. Latest NBM

probabilities has Friday breaking more records with a 20 to 30

percent chance of 95 degrees or higher in the Valley.

Bakersfield has a 10 percent chance of the first triple digits

of the year. The Desert has a 60 to 80 percent chance of highs

of at least 95 degrees for Friday. 



Temperatures back off on Saturday as the ridge moves east and

begins to flatten as the Valley has a 60 to 70 percent chance of

90 degrees or higher. Sunday sees the biggest drop off as the

flow becomes zonal and even a shortwave trough passes through

Southern California. There is a 65 to 75 percent chance of 

highs of at least 85 degrees on Sunday. The workweek looks to 

continue the warm trend as the ridge rebuilds with Monday 

through Wednesday has a 25 to 50 percent chance of high 

temperatures of 90 degrees before dropping to 20 to 30 percent 

on Thursday. The CPC outlooks continue to have very strong

signals of above average temperatures (70 to 90 percent) along

with below average precipitation. 



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.AVIATION... 

VFR conditions are expected for the next 24 hours.



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.FIRE WEATHER...

Warm air temperatures and steady dew point temperatures will 

lead to a decrease in minimum relative humidities, especially 

for the Mojave Desert, high Sierra, and Coastal Range. This will

coincide with a sharp decrease in 100- and 1000-hr dead fuel 

moistures and an increase in ERC in these areas. Rapid curing of

fine fuels will bring about some risk for isolated grass fires.

However, live fuel moisture remains below critical thresholds 

and significant wild fire potential remains at little or no 

risk. 





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.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...

None.



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.CERTAINTY...



The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high.

The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium.



Certainty levels include low...medium...and high. Please visit

www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information

and/or to provide feedback.



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.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

None.

&&



$$



JPK



weather.gov/hanford