FXUS65 KVEF 030500

AFDVEF



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Las Vegas NV

900 PM PST Mon Feb 2 2026



.KEY MESSAGES...



* Quiet weather continues through the week with gradually warming 

  temperatures and breezy north winds along the Colorado River 

  Valley.



* Pattern change expected this weekend. Details remain uncertain

  at this time.



&&



.DISCUSSION...Through Sunday.



Ridging currently in place over the Western US will amplify through 

midweek- resulting in clear skies, dry conditions, and above normal 

temperatures. As the ridge strengthens, an area of low pressure will 

deepen off the coast of the Baja Peninsula. This low will do little 

to influence local weather in the short term except to strengthen 

the pressure gradient over the region. Winds will become north in 

response and terrain enhanced gusty winds down the Colorado River 

Valley are expected Tuesday and Wednesday. Higher probabilities for 

wind gusts over 40 MPH are isolated and bullseye the typical windy 

spots around Laughlin with most of the Colorado River Valley at 30% 

chance or less for impactful winds. Looking at ensemble meteograms 

at KIFP, wind gusts could touch but not much exceed 40 MPH each 

afternoon. Did not see the need for a wind headline given the 

isolated and marginal nature of the wind gusts, but boaters on Lake 

Mohave and Lake Havasu should be aware of gusty north winds and 

choppy waves Tuesday and Wednesday. After Wednesday, the ridge 

begins to break down which will reduce the pressure gradient and 

thus, reduce the winds in response. Anomalously high heights will 

remain in place over the region the rest of the week though they 

will weaken each day. 



A pattern change is anticipated this weekend into early next week as 

the low of the Baja Peninsula ejects into the region and potentially 

phases with an incoming West Coast trough. The weekend should remain 

low impact as the moisture associated with this system looks weak. 

Low chances for light precipitation is possible but heavy or 

continuous rain is not likely. Cluster analysis is in good agreement 

that a potent upper level trough will move in the first half of next 

week, but what that looks like for our regional weather is too soon 

to tell. Temperatures will decrease in response to the incoming 

systems but much cooler temperatures should hold off until next week 

with this weekend remaining above normal.   



&& 



.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 06Z Forecast Package...Light 

winds following typical directional patterns are expected through 

early Wednesday morning. Speeds will likely (90%+ chance) remain 

under 8KT through the period. Just a few high clouds at times. 



For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast 

California...For the 06Z Forecast Package...Light winds following 

typical daytime and nighttime directions are expected through 

Tuesday in most locations across the region. In the Colorado River 

Valley, northerly winds will diminish to around 10-12kts through the 

overnight period and then redevelop and strengthen after 16Z near 

KIFP with gusts 20-25KT likely. VFR conditions will persist with 

just a few high clouds at times. 



&&



.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report

any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating

procedures.



&&



$$



DISCUSSION...Nickerson

AVIATION...Gorelow



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