FXUS65 KVEF 020937

AFDVEF



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Las Vegas NV

137 AM PST Mon Feb 2 2026



.KEY MESSAGES...



* Quiet weather continues through the week with gradually warming 

  temperatures and breezy north winds along the Colorado River 

  Valley.



* Pattern change expected this weekend. Details remain uncertain

  at this time.



&&





.DISCUSSION...Today through Sunday.



Ridging continues through much of the work week, resulting in quiet 

weather, dry conditions, and generally light winds. The exception 

will be along the Colorado River Valley where gusty north winds will 

elevate as a result of a weak shortwave passage along the flow 

aloft. These gusty winds will occur on Tuesday and Wednesday 

afternoons with speeds between 25 and 35 mph, which will increase 

wave heights on Lake Mohave and Lake Havasu to 1 to 3 feet. 

Otherwise, temperatures will remain well-above normal through the 

forecast period, with afternoon highs 10 to 15 degrees above 

seasonal normals. 



Through the week, ensemble means continue to show a closed low off 

the coast of Baja California slowly moving northward along the 

shoreline. Late-week, this low will weaken into an open wave, phase 

with another incoming system from the eastern Pacific, and will push 

into the Desert Southwest. Details remain uncertain at this time, 

with ensemble ECMWF means favoring a swath of light rain across the 

Mojave Desert and ensemble GFS means favoring hit-or-miss sprinkles. 

This pattern change continues into the start of next week as 

troughing returns to the western CONUS.

&&





.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 06Z Forecast Package...Winds 

will follow typical daily directional patterns with speeds of less 

than 7 knots. Mid and high clouds will gradually clear out through 

the late morning and afternoon. Bases remain at or above 15kft.



For the rest of southern Nevada, northwestern Arizona and 

southeastern California...For the 06Z Forecast Package...Winds 

follow typical daily directional patterns with speeds under 10 

knots for most locations. Northerly winds increase to around 10 

knots at KIFP during the afternoon, falling to less than 10 knots 

in the evening. Mid and high clouds continue to stream across the 

area, decreasing in coverage through the late morning and 

afternoon.

&&





.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report

any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating

procedures.



&&



$$



DISCUSSION...Soulat

AVIATION...Meltzer



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