FXUS65 KTWC 242024

AFDTWC



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Tucson AZ

124 PM MST Fri Oct 24 2025



.SYNOPSIS...Dry conditions will prevail through the end of next 

week. High temperatures will warm to near normal levels over the 

weekend, then to above normals for much of next week. 



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.DISCUSSION...A very benign weather pattern for the forecast period 

across southeast Arizona as the region is currently dry 

northwesterly flow aloft between the upper low near the CO/NM border 

and a shortwave ridge approaching the California coast. This 

shortwave ridge will traverse across southeast Arizona on Saturday, 

briefly flattening out on Sunday before broader ridging moves in 

over the course of next week with increasing heights. Expect near 

normal temperatures this weekend, warming to levels about 3 to 8 

degrees above normal next week.  



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.AVIATION...Valid through 26/00Z. 

Clear skies/SKC conditions thru the forecast period. SFC wind less 

than 12 kts, favoring a WLY/NWLY direction during the afternoon and 

early evening hours and variable in direction at other times. 

Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.



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.FIRE WEATHER...Dry conditions are expected the next 7 days. High 

temperatures will be near normal this weekend rising to about 3-8 

degrees above next week. 20-foot winds will generally be 15 mph or 

less, with occasional gusts to 20-25 mph through at least the middle 

of next week. Minimum RH values will be in the 15-25 percent range 

(and higher values in the mountains) through Sunday, lowering to 

between 10-18 percent much of next week. 



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.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.



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