FXUS65 KSLC 210414

AFDSLC



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT

1014 PM MDT Fri Mar 20 2026



.KEY MESSAGES...



- High pressure will continue to bring historically warm weather

  for March through Saturday. Daytime maximum temperatures will

  challenge monthly records.



- A dry cold front will bring a brief cooling trend Sunday, though

  daytime highs will remain 10 to 20 degrees above normal.

  

- Near record temperatures will return by Tuesday into Wednesday.



- There is less than a 5 percent chance of measurable 

  precipitation for the next 7 days across most of Utah and 

  southwest Wyoming.



&&



.DISCUSSION...Strong high pressure over the area today will begin

to flatten and shift east on Saturday as a couple of low-

amplitude waves ripple from west to east near the Canadian 

border. While H7 temperatures will cool slightly on Saturday as 

heights fall, mixing will increase in many areas due to increased

west to southwesterly flow, which will help maintain surface 

temperatures around 25 degrees above normal, with many areas once 

again expected to break daily temperature records.



A dry cold front will spread south into Utah Saturday night into

Sunday, resulting in temperatures trending around 10-15 degrees 

cooler across northern Utah and up to 8 degrees cooler across 

southern Utah for Sunday. However, this would only lower

temperatures to 10-20 degrees above normal. Thereafter, 

temperatures will rebound, with daily record highs a strong 

possibility for many sites once again especially by midweek. The 

NBM has a 54% chance of SLC returning to at least 80F on Tuesday, 

and a 78% chance on Wednesday.



Another dry cold front looks like a possibility for Thursday,

although some of the latest deterministics are less enthusiastic

with this solution. Overall model trends do continue to indicate

a cooling trend, but model spread remains fairly large. The NBM

25th-75th percentile range for the max temperature at SLC on 

Thursday is 63-78F. However, even at the lower end of the

probabilistic spectrum, we are once again still looking at above-

normal values for this time of year. 



&&



.AVIATION...KSLC...Clear to mostly clear skies with prevailing VFR 

and light diurnally typical winds hold into Saturday evening. High 

clouds will begin to increase ahead of a dry cold frontal boundary, 

which will move through around 02Z to 05Z Sunday. This will be 

marked by a period of modest enhancement to NW wind magnitudes.



.REST OF UTAH AND SOUTHWEST WYOMING...Area terminals once again can 

expect the TAF period to see prevailing VFR conditions, skies 

generally clear to mostly clear, and largely diurnally normal winds. 

High clouds will begin to increase as a dry cold front sags south

later Saturday. This front will begin to push through northern 

terminals Saturday evening, bringing a period of slightly enhanced

N to NW winds.



&&



.SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

UT...None.

WY...Red Flag Warning until 9 PM MDT Saturday for WYZ277.



&&



$$



Cheng/Warthen



For more information from NOAA's National Weather Service visit...

http://weather.gov/saltlakecity