FXUS65 KPUB 241720 AFDPUB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pueblo CO 1120 AM MDT Fri Oct 24 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Scattered convective showers today mainly favoring the higher terrain. - Scattered showers Sunday night into Monday north of a line from Salida > COS > Eads. - Temps through 7 day period around seasonable values, coolest Tue. - Overall, a very La-Nina-like pattern. && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... Issued at 236 AM MDT Fri Oct 24 2025 Currently, weak upper low was noted spinning vcnty 4 corners. Radar imgy at 2 AM was showing showers over the central mtns and far southeast plains, with most of the clouds noted east of I-25 and over the mtns along the Divide. Today, mid level low will move east to east-southeast. this will keep most of the showers over the higher terrain, with best chance of activity during prime heating this afternoon. Shear has decreased aloft so isold/sctd storms not expected to be strong, but still cant rule out some small hail. Snow will occur at the very highest elevations, and a few inches cant be ruled out, especially with any convective activity. Temps today will be a tad below normal with 60s plains and 50s valleys, 30s mtns. Tonight, a few showers will likely be ongoing across the easter plains, but this activity should push into KS during the early morning hours of Saturday. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... Issued at 236 AM MDT Fri Oct 24 2025 Saturday, Short wave ridge will be over the region. Temps will be a few degrees warmer than Todays high temps. Diurnal wind flow expected. Sunday into Monday...strong pacific jet will knife into the region from the west-northwest. Fairly stout mid level temp gradient will move into the state and this will allow for some wind driven snow to occur in the central mtns by later on Sunday and lasting into early Monday. A few showers will push east and will possibly affect the Pikes Peak region and possibly into the northern section of the southeast plains; i.e, Kiowa county. Prior to the jet moving into the region, temps on the plains will likely be teh warmest of this fcst period, with mid 70s plains and L60s valleys. Monday it will cool off as a Canadian high builds southeastward down the High Plains. Tuesday will be the coolest day of the fcst period and max temps will likely only be in teh 50s plains and valleys, with 30s and 40s mtns. Drier air will advect in aloft and it will likely remain dry across the region although upslope flow will be over the lower elevations. During the midweek time period, Jet will lift to the north of the region and temps will begin to slowly warm over the plains. Another weak wave will push to our north late in the week, and this may cool temps down a bit late in the week (it will remain dry, though). \/Hodanish && .AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/... Issued at 1120 AM MDT Fri Oct 24 2025 Mid level low over the southern San Luis Valley this morning, will dig south and east into north central New Mexico through the afternoon and then continue into central New Mexico later tonight. This will keep scattered showers and a few embedded thunderstorms over and near the higher terrain through afternoon, with clearing skies through the evening and overnight, as drier air within within northerly flow aloft continues to work into the region. With that said, VFR conditions are expected at COS and PUB through the period, with any precipitation expected to be west of the terminals. North to northeast winds at the terminals through the afternoon, with winds becoming generally light and diurnally driven through the evening and into the day on Saturday. VFR and MVFR cigs at ALS through the afternoon, with a low PROB30 potential of scattered showers and a few embedded thunderstorms over the higher terrain spreading across the valley floor. Convection wanes and ends through the early evening, with clearing skies and VFR conditions expected through the rest of the taf period. Northerly winds at the terminal through the afternoon, to become light and variable overnight. && .PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...HODANISH LONG TERM...HODANISH AVIATION...MW