FXUS65 KPUB 240900

AFDPUB



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Pueblo CO

300 AM MDT Fri Oct 24 2025



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Scattered convective showers today mainly favoring the higher 

terrain.



- Scattered showers Sunday night into Monday north of a line from 

Salida > COS > Eads.



- Temps through 7 day period around seasonable values, coolest Tue.



- Overall, a very La-Nina-like pattern.



&&



.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...

Issued at 236 AM MDT Fri Oct 24 2025



Currently, weak upper low was noted spinning vcnty 4 corners. Radar 

imgy at 2 AM was showing showers over the central mtns and far 

southeast plains, with most of the clouds noted east of I-25 and 

over the mtns along the Divide.



Today, mid level low will move east to east-southeast. this will 

keep most of the showers over the higher terrain, with best chance 

of activity during prime heating this afternoon. Shear has decreased 

aloft so isold/sctd storms not expected to be strong, but still cant 

rule out some small hail. Snow will occur at the very highest 

elevations, and a few inches cant be ruled out, especially with any 

convective activity. 



Temps today will be a tad below normal with 60s plains and 50s 

valleys, 30s mtns. 



Tonight, a few showers will likely be ongoing across the easter 

plains, but this activity should push into KS during the early 

morning hours of Saturday.



&&



.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...

Issued at 236 AM MDT Fri Oct 24 2025



Saturday, Short wave ridge will be over the region. Temps will be a 

few degrees warmer than Todays high temps. Diurnal wind flow 

expected.



Sunday into Monday...strong pacific jet will knife into the region 

from the west-northwest. Fairly stout mid level temp gradient will 

move into the state and this will allow for some wind driven snow to 

occur in the central mtns by later on Sunday and lasting into early 

Monday. A few showers will push east and will possibly affect the 

Pikes Peak region and possibly into the northern section of the 

southeast plains; i.e, Kiowa county. Prior to the jet moving into 

the region, temps on the plains will likely be teh warmest of this 

fcst period, with mid 70s plains and L60s valleys. Monday it will 

cool off as a Canadian high builds southeastward down the High 

Plains. 



Tuesday will be the coolest day of the fcst period and max temps 

will likely only be in teh 50s plains and valleys, with 30s and 40s 

mtns. Drier air will advect in aloft and it will likely remain dry 

across the region although upslope flow will be over the lower 

elevations.



During the midweek time period, Jet will lift to the north of the 

region and temps will begin to slowly warm over the plains. Another 

weak wave will push to our north late in the week, and this may cool 

temps down a bit late in the week (it will remain dry, though). 

\/Hodanish



&&



.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...

Issued at 1124 PM MDT Thu Oct 23 2025



Generally VFR conditions expected at the TAF sites over the next

24 hours, though there is a small chance that some MVFR to IFR cigs/vis

could develop at KALS if sufficient clearing occurs. Will need to monitor

this potential closely, but for now have introduced an MVFR group at 11z 

for KALS as this scenario seems more likely.  Otherwise, winds will

increase out of the north at 10-20 kts at KCOS and KPUB Friday morning.

Winds decrease in the afternoon as showers develop across southern portions

of the area.  VCSH will be possible at KALS and KPUB in the afternoon before

clearing takes place around/after 00z on the 25th.



&&



.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

None.



&&



$$



SHORT TERM...HODANISH

LONG TERM...HODANISH

AVIATION...HODANISH