FXUS65 KLKN 211931

AFDLKN



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Elko NV

1231 PM PDT Sat Mar 21 2026



.KEY MESSAGES...



* Record to near record warmth is expected across all of Northern

  and Central Nevada each afternoon through next Saturday



* Dry weather will persist through next weekend



* Sunday, as well as Thursday and Friday of next week will be 

  slightly cooler, but temperatures look to rebound quickly 

  afterward.



&&





.DISCUSSION...

(This afternoon through next Saturday)



WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: 



Anomalously strong early Spring upper level ridge of high 

pressure will remain the dominant player for weather through the 

forecast period. This ridge currently situated over the Sonora 

Desert of Arizona and northern Mexico will keep temperatures 25 to

30 degrees above average this week. This will continue the streak

of seeing near record to record high temperatures across northern

and eastern Nevada through at least next Saturday. There will due

to a few disturbances in the westerly flow that will help cool 

things of for a day or two during this period, However even during

those days temperatures will still be near record territory. The 

first of these cooler days will be Sunday as a upper trough 

flattens the ridge a bit allowing for increased upper level clouds

to move across northern NV in the westerly flow. Temperatures 

Sunday will be about 5 to 9 degrees cooler than Saturday afternoon

ranging in the upper 60s to upper 70s. Monday through Wednesday 

the ridge restrengthens, sending temperatures back into the upper 

70s to upper 80s. Winds Saturday through Wednesday afternoon will 

be out of the west to southwest at 10 to 25 mph with occasional 

gusts up to 35 mph possible. Thursday and Friday will see another 

weak upper trough transit southern Nevada around the periphery of 

the ridge. This will again help push the ridge slightly east over 

the Rio Grande Valley of far southern New Mexico, as well as 

flatten the ridge briefly allowing for height falls across 

northern and central NV and increasing the upper level clouds. 

Temperatures will be about 5 to 10 degrees cooler, ranging into 

into the upper 60s to upper 70s both days. However, again the 

ridge will be quick to rebuild NW allowing for a quick recovery of

temperatures back into the mid 70s to mid 80s for next weekend. 

The good news is even with the very warm day time temperatures, 

overnight lows will average into the mid 30s to mid 40s, While 

anomalously warm themselves, it still allows for good recovery 

from heat stresses accumulated during the day. For Winds during 

the Thursday through Saturday period, there will be a shift 

Thursday and Friday to a northwest direction, and again Saturday 

to be out of the NE. Speeds will be similar at 5 to 15 mph, with 

gusts up to 25 mph possible. 



FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: 



There is high confidence for near record, to record setting 

temperatures for each day Saturday through next weekend.



There is high confidence in the continuation of dry conditions 

through next weekend.





&&





.AVIATION...



VFR conditions are forecast through Sunday evening with breezy 

west to southwest winds of 10KT to 20KT with gusts up to 30KT 

possible. Increasing mid to upper level clouds will lower CIGs to 

a minimum of 15kFT. 





&&





.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...

None. &&



$$



DISCUSSION...98

AVIATION...98