FXUS65 KLKN 052013

AFDLKN



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Elko NV

113 PM PDT Tue May 5 2026



.KEY MESSAGES...



* Periods of valley rain and high elevation snow through this

  evening 



* A few strong thunderstorms possible this afternoon with wind

  gusts to 50 mph possible 

  

* Warming trend Wednesday through the rest of the week 



&&





.DISCUSSION...

(This evening through next Monday)



WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: Increasing clouds have continued across

portions of eastern and central Nevada this afternoon. Some

instability exists and have prompted isolated thunderstorms to

form across eastern Elko county. These cells are currently moving

to the south and west at about 20 to 25 mph. These cells are

producing a few strikes here and there with gusts to 35 mph seen

thus far. Some of the cells could grow in strength later this

afternoon and evening with wind gusts to 50 mph possible. The

activity will wane this evening with clouds scattering out just

after midnight. Low temperatures tonight will dip into the 30s and

40s.



The upper trough that passed over the area will continue moving to

the south and closing off over Baja California later tomorrow.

Rising heights due to an upper level high pressure system will be

in store for northern and central Nevada. Skies are expected to be

mostly sunny with highs in the 60s and 70s. Winds will be out of

the north with some gusts to 25 mph. Continued dry conditions

expected during the overnight with lows in the 30s and 40s.



Thursday through the weekend, models are showing upper ridging

maintaining a grip on the weather across the area through the

period. This will mean temperatures will climb to above normal

levels through about Friday with readings in the 70s and 80s.

Overnight lows will be in the 30s and 40s. Winds will be breezy

each afternoon with gusts to 25 mph. By Sunday, high temperatures

will climb even more with readings in the 80s for the most part. A

few near record temperatures may be possible Sunday.



FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: Confidence remains high through

the overnight with the showers and thunderstorms. Confidence in

the warmup through the period continues at a moderate level. No

changes were made to the NBM forecast.



&&





.AVIATION...ISOLD -TSRA remains the threat through the early

evening hours across the eastern terminals with gusts to 40KT

possible with any storm. In addition, any storm could bring

temporary MVFR conditions in the heavier showers with some BLDU

possible. Otherwise, look for VFR conditions tomorrow with some

breezes to 20KT.



&&





.FIRE WEATHER...



A few strong thunderstorms are expected during this afternoon and 

into this evening. The primary thunderstorm hazards will be wind 

gusts near 50 mph and dangerous cloud to ground lightning strikes.

The most likely area for thunderstorms will be in Southern Elko 

County, Northern White Pine County, and Eureka County. Otherwise,

skies will clear with gradually warming temperatures through the

week.



&&



.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...

None.

&&



$$



DISCUSSION...86

AVIATION...86

FIRE WEATHER...86