FXUS65 KLKN 050811

AFDLKN



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Elko NV

111 AM PDT Tue May 5 2026



.KEY MESSAGES...



* Periods of valley rain and high elevation snow through Tuesday

  evening 



* A few strong thunderstorms possible Tuesday afternoon 

  

* Warming trend Wednesday through Friday 



&&





.UPDATE...

Issued at 104 AM PDT Tue May 5 2026



Forecast appears to be on track for continued valley rain mountain

snow through Tuesday evening with potential for more convection

Tuesday afternoon. No changes needed at this time.



&&





.DISCUSSION...

(Today through next Tuesday)



WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A few strong thunderstorms are possible

Tuesday afternoon. The primary thunderstorm hazards will be wind 

gusts of 45 to 50 mph and dangerous cloud to ground lightning 

strikes. A storm system will impact Northern and Central Nevada 

through Tuesday evening, resulting in periods of valley rain and 

high elevation snow. Snow levels will remain around 9,000 feet. 

The majority of this precipitation will fall Tuesday afternoon. 



A ridge of high pressure will build northeastward across the

Silver State Wednesday through Friday, resulting in a warming

trend. By Friday afternoon, high temperatures throughout Northern

and Central Nevada will be around ten degrees above normal for 

this time of year. Maximum temperatures across Northern and 

Central Nevada will remain above seasonal values this weekend. 





FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High forecast confidence

regarding a few strong thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon. High 

forecast confidence in periods of valley rain and high elevation 

snow through Tuesday evening. Moderate forecast confidence 

regarding a warming trend Wednesday through Friday. No deviations 

from the NBM model output.



&&





.AVIATION...



VFR conditions will prevail at all terminals through at least the

next 24 hours. MVFR or lower conditions are conceivable in and

near precipitation. This possibility is not high enough for

inclusion in the terminal forecasts. 



&&





.FIRE WEATHER...



A few strong thunderstorms are expected Tuesday afternoon into 

this evening. The primary thunderstorm hazards will be wind gusts

near 50 mph and dangerous cloud to ground lightning strikes. The 

most likely area for thunderstorms will be in Southern Elko 

County, Northern White Pine County, and Eureka County.



&&





.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...

None.

&&



$$



UPDATES...99

DISCUSSION...87

AVIATION...87

FIRE WEATHER...87