FXUS65 KLKN 041810

AFDLKN



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Elko NV

1110 AM PDT Mon May 4 2026



.KEY MESSAGES...



* Periods of valley rain and high elevation snow this afternoon

  through Tuesday evening 



* A few strong thunderstorms possible both this afternoon and

  Tuesday afternoon 

  

* Warming trend Wednesday through Friday 



&&



.DISCUSSION...

(This afternoon through Sunday)



WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A few strong thunderstorms are possible

both this afternoon and Tuesday afternoon. The primary 

thunderstorm hazards will be wind gusts of 45 to 50 mph and 

dangerous cloud to ground lightning strikes. A storm system will

impact Northern and Central Nevada this afternoon through 

Tuesday evening, resulting in periods of valley rain and high 

elevation snow. Snow levels will remain around 9,000 feet. The

majority of this precipitation will fall Tuesday afternoon. Here

are probabilities of one tenth of an inch of rain or more for

select locations in Northern and Central Nevada from 5 PM PDT 

Monday, May 4th, 2026 until 5 PM PDT Tuesday, May 5th, 2026: 



Austin - 72%

Jiggs - 71%

Lamoille - 67%

Spring Creek - 64%

Ruby Valley - 63%

Gabbs - 61%

Elko - 52% 

Eureka - 49% 

Carlin - 46%

Wells - 39%



A ridge of high pressure will build northeastward across the

Silver State Wednesday through Friday, resulting in a warming

trend. By Friday afternoon, high temperatures throughout Northern

and Central Nevada will be around ten degrees above normal for 

this time of year. Maximum temperatures across Northern and 

Central Nevada will remain above seasonal values this weekend. 



FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High forecast confidence

regarding a few strong thunderstorms both this afternoon and

Tuesday afternoon. High forecast confidence in periods of valley

rain and high elevation snow this afternoon through Tuesday 

evening. Moderate forecast confidence regarding a warming trend

Wednesday through Friday. No deviations from the NBM model output.  



&&



.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will prevail at all terminals through at least the

next 24 hours. MVFR or lower conditions are conceivable in and

near precipitation. This possibility is not high enough for

inclusion in the terminal forecasts. 



&&



.FIRE WEATHER...

A few strong thunderstorms are expected this afternoon into this

evening. The primary thunderstorm hazards will be wind gusts near

45 mph and dangerous cloud to ground lightning strikes. The most

likely area for thunderstorms will be in Northern Nye County and

Southern Lander and Eureka Counties. A few strong thunderstorms

are anticipated Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday evening. The

primary thunderstorm hazards will be wind gusts near 50 mph and 

dangerous cloud to ground lightning strikes. The most likely area 

for thunderstorms will be in Southern Elko County, Northern White

Pine County, and Eureka County.



&&



.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...

None.



&&



$$



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