FXUS65 KGJT 040010 AFDGJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Junction CO 510 PM MST Tue Feb 3 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Mostly dry and unseasonably warm conditions persist through the end of the week, with temperatures 10 to 15 degrees above normal. - Unseasonable warmth is expected Thursday and Friday, with highs close to 20 degrees above normal. Some locations north of the I-70 corridor may come within a few degrees of records. - A pattern shift to wetter conditions is possible next week. && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... Issued at 129 PM MST Tue Feb 3 2026 We remain under northwesterly flow today, with little change to the overall synoptic pattern. A pocket of deeper moisture and a 90-100 knot upper level jet have helped to spawn some low and mid-level clouds and light snow showers over the northern and central Divide. The moisture pocket will shift southeast this afternoon, ending snow showers. The jet lingers through the evening, bringing gusts of 30- 40 mph to the higher elevations, and 20-30 mph for the valleys. Winds calm and skies clear tonight, promoting good radiational cooling conditions. Favored cold pool valleys, the Upper Gunnison in particular, will see lows drop into the lower single digits. Areas where surface moisture has pooled may also see the development of some fog or low stratus by daybreak. High pressure nudges in during the day tomorrow, bringing abundant sunshine and warming temperatures. Highs will continue to run 10-15 degrees above normal across much of the area. Despite another night of clear skies and light winds, overnight lows tomorrow night into Thursday morning are expected to run 10-20 degrees above normal under increasing warm air advection, setting the tone for the remainder of the week. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... Issued at 129 PM MST Tue Feb 3 2026 Unseasonably warm days, cool nights, and dry conditions continue through the weekend with high pressure centered between the West Coast and Intermountain West. The upper-level flow pattern chances from northwesterly to southwesterly later this week leading to an uptick in warm air advection. This will allow high temperatures warm 10-20 degrees above normal for early February with the most sizable departures from normal north of the I-70 corridor. A pattern change is possible early next week as moisture advection ramps up across the Southwest and high pressure breaks down. We will see how the models evolve over the next few days, but right now there looks to be a lot of warm air to overcome before meaningful mountain snowfall enters the equation. && .AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/... Issued at 442 PM MST Tue Feb 3 2026 Midlevel ceilings around 7.5K feet persist this hour at KASE and KEGE but webcams do show them breaking up. The remainder of the evening will see these clouds continuing to clear though some high clouds will drift by. VFR conditions will prevail for the next 24 hours. && .GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CO...None. UT...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...BGB LONG TERM...KAA AVIATION...TGJT