FXUS65 KFGZ 060333

AFDFGZ



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ

833 PM MST Sat Apr 5 2025



.SYNOPSIS...Shower activity has decreased across northern Arizona

this evening, with little to no precipitation expected across the

area after midnight. High pressure and dry weather return on 

Sunday, with much warmer temperatures through next week.



&&



.UPDATE...The low pressure system that brought periods of rain and

snow to northern Arizona over the last few days has moved well

east of the area. With the lack of dynamics and daytime heating,

shower activity has quickly diminished across northern Arizona 

this evening. By midnight tonight, little to no precipitation is 

expected, with dry conditions and a warming trend forecast through

next week.



&&



.PREV DISCUSSION /448 PM MST/...Cold and moist northeasterly flow

continues over the eastern half of Arizona this afternoon, on 

the west side of the upper low that has affected our region all 

week. Daytime instability is leading to scattered showers over 

portions of Navajo and Apache counties, moving toward the south-

southwest. Locally heavy snow showers are impacting parts of Hwy 

264 between Ganado and Window Rock, and parts of the White 

Mountains. Above freezing temperatures and the higher sun angles 

this time of year are keeping most roadways clear, though some are

getting slushy or snow covered at least briefly in the heaviest 

showers. Expect this activity to continue through early to mid 

evening, with a stray shower possible as far west as Flagstaff and

Payson. Showers should end later in the evening as the low 

continues to move farther east of the state.



Sunday - high pressure will begin to build in from the west with

dry weather returning. Daytime temperatures will be 5-10 degrees 

warmer than today, but still a bit below normal for this time of 

year. 



Monday through Friday - high pressure continues to build over the

southwest United States. Dry weather will persist over our 

region. Daytime temperatures will warm a few degrees each day, 

likely peaking on Thursday and Friday when highs will be within a 

couple degrees of daily records.



&&



.AVIATION...Sunday 06/00Z through Monday 07/00Z...VFR conditions

are expected. Northeast winds 10-20 kts, becoming light and 

variable after 02Z. Isolated SHRA/SHSN mainly along and south of 

a KPAN-KRQE line through 03Z.



OUTLOOK...Monday 07/00Z through Wednesday 09/00Z...Look for VFR

conditions. Winds of 5-15 kts, northeast on Sunday then shifting 

to southwest on Monday and Tuesday.



&&



.FIRE WEATHER...Sunday through Monday...Warmer and drier conditions 

return for Sunday and Monday. Northwest to north winds at 5-15 mph 

on Sunday, then west to southwest winds at 5-15 mph on Monday. 



Tuesday through Thursday...The warming and drying trend will 

continue through the week. Southwest winds at 5-15 mph on Tuesday, 

becoming more westerly on Wednesday, then west to northwest on 

Thursday.



&&



.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.



&&



$$



PUBLIC...RR/JJ

AVIATION...McCollum

FIRE WEATHER...McCollum



For Northern Arizona weather information visit

weather.gov/flagstaff