FXUS65 KBOI 051202 AFDBOI Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boise ID 602 AM MDT Tue May 5 2026 .UPDATE...Updated aviation discussion. && .KEY MESSAGES... - Windy conditions this afternoon with northerly winds. - Isolated afternoon/evening showers and thunderstorms today over the mountains of S Idaho and SE Oregon, otherwise dry. - Above normal temperatures continue with 10-15 degrees above normal by next week. && .SHORT TERM /Through Thursday Night/... Issued 406 AM MDT TUE MAY 5 2026 Northerly flow will continue over the area as a trough remains over southern CA, with cool air east of the Rockies and a ridge over SW British Columbia. Air flow will converge over the central ID mountains and Magic Valley, as air from eastern OR converges with air from eastern ID and MT moving down the Snake Basin. This convergence zone favors isolated showers and thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon. Elsewhere windy northerly conditions expected Tuesday afternoon with gusts of 30 to 40 mph. Northwest flow continues into Thursday with dry and breezy conditions during the afternoon. Temperatures range around 5 to 10 degrees above normal in the short term. && .LONG TERM /Friday through Tuesday/... Issued 406 AM MDT TUE MAY 5 2026 through the area on Friday afternoon, bringing breezy conditions and lowering temperatures to near normal. Then the upper level ridge redevelops over the western US, with the warmest temperatures of the season by next Monday and Tuesday. Temperatures rise 15 to 20 degrees above normal with highs of 85 to 90 degrees in the Snake Basin. && .AVIATION /12Z Tuesday through Wednesday/... Issued 558 AM MDT TUE MAY 5 2026 VFR. Areas of smoke. Isolated showers/thunderstorms across the higher terrain of southeast Oregon and central ID mountains this afternoon and evening. Gusty erratic outflow winds possible with the stronger storms. Surface winds: W-NW 15-25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt through the evening. Winds aloft at 10k ft MSL: NW-NE 15-30 kt. KBOI...VFR. Cumulus buildups east of terminal this aft. Surface winds: SE 5-10 kt this morning shifting to NW 15-20 kt with gusts around 30 kt this afternoon. && .BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ID...None. OR...None. && $$ www.weather.gov/Boise Interact with us via social media: www.facebook.com/NWSBoise www.x.com/NWSBoise AVIATION.....KA SHORT TERM...KA LONG TERM....KA