FXUS65 KBOI 051006 AFDBOI Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boise ID 406 AM MDT Tue May 5 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Windy conditions this afternoon with northerly winds. - Isolated afternoon/evening showers and thunderstorms today over the mountains of S Idaho and SE Oregon, otherwise dry. - Above normal temperatures continue with 10-15 degrees above normal by next week. && .SHORT TERM /Through Thursday Night/... Northerly flow will continue over the area as a trough remains over southern CA, with cool air east of the Rockies and a ridge over SW British Columbia. Air flow will converge over the central ID mountains and Magic Valley, as air from eastern OR converges with air from eastern ID and MT moving down the Snake Basin. This convergence zone favors isolated showers and thunderstorms Tuesday afternoon. Elsewhere windy northerly conditions expected Tuesday afternoon with gusts of 30 to 40 mph. Northwest flow continues into Thursday with dry and breezy conditions during the afternoon. Temperatures range around 5 to 10 degrees above normal in the short term. && .LONG TERM /Friday through Tuesday/...A dry cold front will move through the area on Friday afternoon, bringing breezy conditions and lowering temperatures to near normal. Then the upper level ridge redevelops over the western US, with the warmest temperatures of the season by next Monday and Tuesday. Temperatures rise 15 to 20 degrees above normal with highs of 85 to 90 degrees in the Snake Basin. && .AVIATION /06Z Tuesday through Wednesday/... Issued 144 AM MDT TUE MAY 5 2026 VFR with with mostly clear skies today. Patchy valley smoke in the Boise Mountains. Isolated showers/thunderstorms across the higher terrain of southeast Oregon and the Western Magic Valley this afternoon and evening. Gusty outflow winds and blowing dust possible with the stronger storms. Surface winds: W-NW 15-25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt through the evening. Winds aloft at 10k ft MSL: NW- NE 15- 30 kt. KBOI...VFR with some high clouds. Surface winds: NW 8-12 kt increasing to 15-20 kt with gusts up to 30 kts this afternoon. && .BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ID...None. OR...None. && $$ www.weather.gov/Boise Interact with us via social media: www.facebook.com/NWSBoise www.x.com/NWSBoise SHORT TERM...KA LONG TERM....KA AVIATION.....JDS