FXUS64 KTSA 032325 AFDTSA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tulsa OK 525 PM CST Tue Feb 3 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 523 PM CST Tue Feb 3 2026 - Slightly cooler conditions will continue through Wednesday. There will be a slight chance for mixed rain and snow west of Highway 75 Wednesday morning. - Much warmer and dry weather Thursday into next week. && .SHORT TERM... (Through tonight ) Issued at 1032 AM CST Tue Feb 3 2026 A cold front has pushed through the forecast area. Areas of clouds and precipitation have moved east with cool and breezy northerly flow now in place. These conditions will persist for the remainder of today and tonight. Highs this afternoon will range from the mid 40s in the far north to the upper 50s in the south. Overnight tonight, cloud cover will gradually increase as a mid level trough axis approaches. A few sprinkles or flurries may develop west of Highway 75 in northeast OK, but the majority of any precipitation now appears to be west of the forecast area. Low temperatures will mostly be near to slightly below freezing. && .LONG TERM... (Tomorrow through Tuesday) Issued at 1032 AM CST Tue Feb 3 2026 The influence of a trough will remain across the area Wednesday. Cool and breezy northerly winds will continue through the day. A relatively shallow saturated zone at the top of the mixed layer will likely promote persistent cloud cover and maybe a few sprinkles during the day Wednesday. With better confidence on more widespread low cloud cover, lowered temperatures a bit from the NBM, especially for northwest Arkansas where clouds will be most persistent. High temperatures will range from the upper 30s to low 40s in the north to the upper 40s in the south. Thursday morning will be cool as skies clear behind the trough, mainly in the mid to upper 20s across the area. Then, upper level ridging flexes back into the region. Mostly clear skies with mild southerly flow will prevail into the weekend and early next week, with only minor disruptions as a few weak transitory boundaries brush the area. High temperatures will be in the 60s to 70s with lows mainly in the 30s and 40s. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 523 PM CST Tue Feb 3 2026 Ongoing VFR conditions will continue through the evening with increasingly likelihood of low ceilings spreading from north to south late tonight through Wednesday morning. Guidance varies on from low VFR to MVFR levels and forecast will favor the lower ceilings from morning through mid afternoon. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TUL 30 46 28 61 / 10 10 0 0 FSM 31 47 28 59 / 0 0 0 0 MLC 32 49 28 63 / 0 0 0 0 BVO 27 46 24 61 / 10 10 0 0 FYV 27 41 25 56 / 0 0 0 0 BYV 27 40 25 55 / 0 0 0 0 MKO 29 46 26 62 / 0 0 0 0 MIO 27 42 26 57 / 0 0 0 0 F10 31 48 27 64 / 0 10 0 0 HHW 35 52 29 61 / 0 0 0 0 && .TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. AR...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...06 LONG TERM....06 AVIATION...07