FXUS64 KSJT 242349 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 649 PM CDT Fri Oct 24 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Severe storms expected afternoon into early Saturday morning for all of West Central Texas. - Slight Risk of Excessive Rainfall across all of West Central Texas this afternoon and tonight. && .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Saturday) Issued at 1242 PM CDT Fri Oct 24 2025 Strong to severe storms have already developed to the west of the Concho Valley early this afternoon. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect for most of west central Texas through 7 PM this evening. The thunderstorms to our west are expected to continue to grow in coverage and strength through the rest of the afternoon as the move into our area. All severe types are possible, with the main concerns being large hail and damaging winds. However, low level helicity, especially in our southern counties is high enough to warrant a concern for isolated tornadoes. In addition to severe thunderstorm concerns, much of the activity will also contain heavy rainfall, and localized flash flooding may be possible. Expect initially discrete supercells/clusters to grow upscale into one or two lines of storms later tonight. The entire line or lines will move quickly east, increasing the chance for severe wind gusts. Although storms are already approaching our western counties, do expect the bulk of the activity to make significant progress into our area until 5 or 6 PM tonight, with the entire line or lines moving east out of our area by 2 or 3 AM tonight. Skies should start mostly cloudy tomorrow, with some lingering showers or storms possible for areas east of a Sweetwater to Sonora line, with lows in the upper 50s to lower 60s. Otherwise, we should see clearing skies throughout the day, with highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s. && .LONG TERM... (Saturday night through next Friday) Issued at 1217 PM CDT Fri Oct 24 2025 Look for quiet and cooler and dry weather next week. A cold front will move through the area Monday and Monday night. Expect cooler temperatures Tuesday through Friday. Highs will be in the 70s with overnight lows in the 40s. For Sunday and Monday, highs will be in the upper 70s and 80s. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 635 PM CDT Fri Oct 24 2025 Band of showers and thunderstorms from Ozona to Brady to Brownwood at 1130Z will move eastward this evening, KSOA, KBBD and KJCT will see temporary visibilities down to IFR in very heavy rainfall at times this evening. KSOA potentially may see some hail. Another band of thunderstorms may also affect KSOA and KJCT 6-9Z. KABI and KSJT, behind the line, will likely see MVFR visibilites in rain showers with occasional thunder through 3Z this evening as the showers dissipate. Later tonight, skies may temporarily clear out overnight, but IFR to MVFR ceilings develop late night and toward morning. Stratus should dissipate late morning/midday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 59 76 56 81 / 90 40 10 0 San Angelo 57 78 54 83 / 90 30 0 0 Junction 60 83 56 84 / 90 40 10 0 Brownwood 58 78 55 81 / 90 60 10 0 Sweetwater 57 74 55 82 / 80 30 0 0 Ozona 59 79 53 83 / 90 20 0 0 Brady 60 78 57 80 / 90 50 10 0 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...20 LONG TERM....21 AVIATION...04