FXUS64 KSJT 211106 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 606 AM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Record high temperatures will likely be tied or broken through the weekend, with highs approaching 100 degrees. - Elevated fire weather conditions are forecast across all of West Central Texas today. Elevated to near critical fire weather conditions are possible on Sunday. && .SHORT TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 112 AM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026 A large upper level ridge is centered across southern portions of the Desert Southwest and northern Mexico. This feature will continue to dominate the weather across West Central Texas through the next 24 hours, resulting in hot and dry conditions. Record breaking heat will continue today with highs in the mid 90s to near 100. The record highs for today (March 21st) are 98 at Abilene and 95 at San Angelo. Both of these records are likely to be broken this afternoon as highs at both locations with a forecast high at San Angelo of 99 and 100 at Abilene. Bumped up winds a bit from mid morning through the afternoon hours, as the NBM winds continue to be too low. Expect south to southwest winds of 12 to 15 mph, with higher gusts. Overnight lows will continue to be mild, in the upper 50s to lower 60s. && .LONG TERM... (Sunday through Friday) Issued at 1242 AM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026 Breezy southwest winds expected Sunday ahead of a cold front moving in Sunday night. Very warm temperatures once again expected with highs in the 99 to 102 range in the the Big Country, with mid/upper 90s to the south. Winds, dry air and hot temperature will bring minimum RH values in the the 9 to 16 percent range across West Central Texas, bringing elevated to near critical fire weather conditions Sunday afternoon. The cold front Sunday night will temporarily bring slightly cooler conditions Monday, but temperatures will still be 8 to 12 degrees above normal. High temperatures rebound back into the 90s Tuesday, and he upper 90s to 101 range Thursday...as the center of upper ridging in the Southwest U.S. builds east into West Texas/Northern Mexico. A weak cold front may move in Friday, but high pressure aloft centers itself even further over Texas, keeping conditions warm and dry. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 536 AM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026 VFR conditions will prevail through the next 24 hours. Southwest winds will increase to 10 to 14 knots, with higher gusts, by late morning, then decrease by late afternoon or early evening. Expect south winds to increase to 12 to 18 knots, with higher gusts, at KABI and KSJT after 03Z. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 99 66 99 56 / 0 0 0 0 San Angelo 99 63 97 54 / 0 0 0 0 Junction 96 57 94 53 / 0 0 0 0 Brownwood 96 58 96 53 / 0 0 0 0 Sweetwater 99 66 99 56 / 0 0 0 0 Ozona 94 58 93 56 / 0 0 0 0 Brady 95 62 94 55 / 0 0 0 0 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Daniels LONG TERM....04 AVIATION...Daniels