FXUS64 KSJT 200546 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 1246 AM CDT Fri Mar 20 2026 ...New LONG TERM... .KEY MESSAGES... - Record high temperatures will likely be tied or broken Saturday and Sunday. - Elevated to near critical fire weather conditions possible on Saturday and Sunday due to dry fuels and hot temperatures. && .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Friday) Issued at 140 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026 Friday begins a string of days in which high temperatures at both Abilene and San Angelo will be in jeopardy of being tied or broken. Upper level ridging centered over the Desert Southwest will be the primary synoptic feature influencing our weather. In addition, the low level thermal ridge is forecast to expand eastward and strengthen across our area on Friday. High temperatures are forecast to surge well into the mid to upper 90s across the Big Country and Concho Valley where 850 mb temperatures will be highest. There is a medium to high chance (~50-80%) of records being exceeded at both Abilene and San Angelo. The records for Abilene and San Angelo: 94 (1916) & 91 (2017), respectively. && .LONG TERM... (Saturday through Thursday) Issued at 1222 AM CDT Fri Mar 20 2026 Nothing has changed with the record breaking temperatures for the weekend across West Central Texas. Upper level ridge building into the area along with a low level thermal ridge, with at least a few hours of southwest winds providing a couple extra degree boost of downslope flow. As mentioned more than once, 98 degrees is the record for hottest temperature so early in the year and this may well fall. Hottest temperatures may actually be across the northwest Big Country closer to the center of the thermal ridge and temperatures exceeding 100 degrees is likely in some locations. Just as a note, although these types of temperatures don't reach heat criteria for the area, this type of heat in March before people and animals have had any real chance to acclimate to the hotter conditions is a real concern. People are used to 100 degrees in July and August, not so much in March. Forecast highs will approach 30 degrees above normal and people/pets/livestock may struggle with this. Cold front slides under the ridge and brings some cooler conditions for Monday, but again not even getting temperatures back down to normal in many areas. Upper ridge isn't going anywhere however and highs by mid week will be right back in the mid/upper 90s once again. WPC 6-10 day forecast for next week shows well above normal temperatures covering much of the western half of the country underneath the ridge. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1144 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026 VFR conditions will prevail through the next 24 hours. South to southwest winds will increase to 10 to 12 knots, with higher gusts, by late morning Friday, then decrease by late afternoon or early evening. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 96 62 98 66 / 0 0 0 0 San Angelo 96 60 97 62 / 0 0 0 0 Junction 92 54 95 57 / 0 0 0 0 Brownwood 94 56 95 58 / 0 0 0 0 Sweetwater 97 62 98 66 / 0 0 0 0 Ozona 91 56 93 58 / 0 0 0 0 Brady 94 59 94 62 / 0 0 0 0 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...42 LONG TERM....07 AVIATION...Daniels