FXUS64 KSJT 200444

AFDSJT



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service San Angelo TX

1144 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026



...New AVIATION...



.KEY MESSAGES... 



- Record high temperatures will likely be tied or broken Saturday

  and Sunday.



- Elevated to near critical fire weather conditions possible on

  Saturday and Sunday due to dry fuels and hot temperatures.



&&



.SHORT TERM...

(This evening through Friday)

Issued at 140 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026



Friday begins a string of days in which high temperatures at both

Abilene and San Angelo will be in jeopardy of being tied or

broken. Upper level ridging centered over the Desert Southwest

will be the primary synoptic feature influencing our weather. In

addition, the low level thermal ridge is forecast to expand

eastward and strengthen across our area on Friday. High

temperatures are forecast to surge well into the mid to upper 90s

across the Big Country and Concho Valley where 850 mb temperatures

will be highest. There is a medium to high chance (~50-80%) of

records being exceeded at both Abilene and San Angelo. The records

for Abilene and San Angelo: 94 (1916) & 91 (2017), respectively. 



&&



.LONG TERM...

(Friday night through next Thursday)

Issued at 1248 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026



Expect record heat across west central Texas this weekend as a large 

dome of high pressure will expand across the southwest US into the 

Southern Plains. The 500 MB heights will be between 595 and 600 

across the southwest US. Also, a low level thermal ridge will 

extend across northwest Texas into the Big Country with highs 

around 100 Saturday and Sunday. The rest of the area will see 

highs in the 90s. The current monthly record high for March is 98

at both Abilene and San Angelo, which will probably be broken. 

Please follow heat safety precautions if you plan to be outside 

for and extended period of time. Expect cooler temperatures Monday

and then hot conditions return for next week. Also, expect 

elevated fire weather conditions this weekend. Going with a dry 

forecast through the long term.



&&



.AVIATION...

(06Z TAFS)

Issued at 1144 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026



VFR conditions will prevail through the next 24 hours. South to 

southwest winds will increase to 10 to 12 knots, with higher gusts, 

by late morning Friday, then decrease by late afternoon or early 

evening.



&&



.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Abilene     89  60  96  62 /   0   0   0   0 

San Angelo  89  58  96  60 /   0   0   0   0 

Junction    85  52  92  54 /   0   0   0   0 

Brownwood   86  54  94  56 /   0   0   0   0 

Sweetwater  93  62  97  62 /   0   0   0   0 

Ozona       85  54  91  56 /   0   0   0   0 

Brady       84  57  94  59 /   0   0   0   0 



&&



.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

None.

&&



$$



SHORT TERM...42

LONG TERM....21

AVIATION...Daniels