FXUS64 KSJT 192318

AFDSJT



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service San Angelo TX

618 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026



...New AVIATION...



.KEY MESSAGES... 



- Record high temperatures will likely be tied or broken Saturday

  and Sunday.



- Elevated to near critical fire weather conditions possible on

  Saturday and Sunday due to dry fuels and hot temperatures.



&&



.SHORT TERM...

(This evening through Friday)

Issued at 140 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026



Friday begins a string of days in which high temperatures at both

Abilene and San Angelo will be in jeopardy of being tied or

broken. Upper level ridging centered over the Desert Southwest

will be the primary synoptic feature influencing our weather. In

addition, the low level thermal ridge is forecast to expand

eastward and strengthen across our area on Friday. High

temperatures are forecast to surge well into the mid to upper 90s

across the Big Country and Concho Valley where 850 mb temperatures

will be highest. There is a medium to high chance (~50-80%) of

records being exceeded at both Abilene and San Angelo. The records

for Abilene and San Angelo: 94 (1916) & 91 (2017), respectively. 



&&



.LONG TERM...

(Friday night through next Thursday)

Issued at 1248 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026



Expect record heat across west central Texas this weekend as a large 

dome of high pressure will expand across the southwest US into the 

Southern Plains. The 500 MB heights will be between 595 and 600 

across the southwest US. Also, a low level thermal ridge will 

extend across northwest Texas into the Big Country with highs 

around 100 Saturday and Sunday. The rest of the area will see 

highs in the 90s. The current monthly record high for March is 98

at both Abilene and San Angelo, which will probably be broken. 

Please follow heat safety precautions if you plan to be outside 

for and extended period of time. Expect cooler temperatures Monday

and then hot conditions return for next week. Also, expect 

elevated fire weather conditions this weekend. Going with a dry 

forecast through the long term.



&&



.AVIATION...

(00Z TAFS)

Issued at 616 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026



VFR. South winds 6 to 10 KTS shift southwest overnight and 

Friday morning. 



&&



.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Abilene     58  95  61  99 /   0   0   0   0 

San Angelo  56  95  59  98 /   0   0   0   0 

Junction    50  92  54  97 /   0   0   0   0 

Brownwood   52  93  56  98 /   0   0   0   0 

Sweetwater  59  96  62  99 /   0   0   0   0 

Ozona       52  91  56  95 /   0   0   0   0 

Brady       56  92  59  96 /   0   0   0   0 



&&



.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

None.

&&



$$



SHORT TERM...42

LONG TERM....21

AVIATION...04