FXUS64 KSJT 060525

AFDSJT



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service San Angelo TX

1225 AM CDT Wed May 6 2026



...New LONG TERM...



.KEY MESSAGES... 



- Low (20%) chances for thunderstorms late tonight into Wednesday

  morning, mainly across the northwest Hill Country and I-10 

  corridor.



- Low (20-30%) chances for rain showers and thunderstorms early

  Thursday morning, and again on Friday afternoon into Saturday.



- Much cooler temperatures are expected behind a cold front on

  Thursday, followed by warmer temperatures by the weekend. 



&&



.SHORT TERM...

(This evening through Wednesday)

Issued at 113 PM CDT Tue May 5 2026



A cold front has moved into the northern Big Country early this

afternoon. Cooler temperatures will filter in behind the front, 

so highs across the Big Country (especially northern portions) 

will likely occur early this morning. Ahead of the front highs 

will top out in the mid 90s for most locations this afternoon. The

front will then stall across central portions of the area. 

Overnight lows will be in the low to mid 60s for most locations, 

with mid to upper 50s across the Big Country. 



The dryline will advance east, reaching our far eastern counties 

this afternoon. Although an isolated thunderstorm is possible on 

the dryline, the cap is forecast to suppress most convection, so 

no rain chances were included for this afternoon and early 

evening. Most of the CAMs are indicating isolated showers and 

thunderstorms developing along the dryline after midnight, mainly 

across our southeast counties. Rain chances are generally in the 

20-30% range. Most of the showers and thunderstorms should be east

of the area by mid-morning. 



Temperatures on Wednesday will be a bit tricky. The aforementioned 

cold front is forecast to slowly lift north as a warm front through 

the day. This will result in the warmest temperatures occurring 

across our southern and western counties, with highs in the mid to 

upper 80s. Cooler temperatures are forecast across much of the Big 

Country and the Heartland, with highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s. 



&&



.LONG TERM...

(Thursday through Tuesday)

Issued at 1219 AM CDT Wed May 6 2026



An upper-level trough stretching from the Great Lakes region and 

southwestward will slowly shift eastward, with a closed low 

traversing northern Mexico and tracking into West Texas by the end

of the work week. A couple of shortwave disturbances accompanying

these features will track through the area, bringing some showers

and thunderstorm chances across our southern counties Thursday, 

and more widespread chances Friday afternoon through Saturday 

morning. Rain chances on Friday and Saturday will likely remain 

south of the I-20 corridor. Still looking at another cold front 

for Sunday morning into Sunday evening, which will bring low rain 

chances to the area into Sunday night. Dry and slightly cooler 

weather will follow the front for next Monday.



Highs on Thursday will be slightly lower with the ample cloud

cover lingering across the area. High temperatures on Thursday

will range from the upper 60s to mid 70s, with overnight lows in

the 50s. A warming trend will begin on Friday, with highs in the 

upper 70s to near 90, rising into the mid 80s to mid 90s on

Saturday. The cold front on Sunday will keep temperatures in the

low 80s to low 90s through Monday, with warmer temperatures

potentially in the triple digits across the Big Country Tuesday

and Wednesday next week.



&&



.AVIATION...

(06Z TAFS)

Issued at 1213 AM CDT Wed May 6 2026



All signs point to thunderstorms developing after about 09Z for

locations such as Sonora, Junction and Brady. Impacts to terminals

will likely be in waves lasting about 30-60 minutes. Otherwise,

MVFR ceilings will be in place for most locations through about

18Z, then improve to VFR.



&&



.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Abilene     80  51  74  56 /   0   0   0   0 

San Angelo  86  55  72  56 /  10   0  10  20 

Junction    86  59  71  56 /  30  10  40  40 

Brownwood   79  54  71  54 /  10   0   0  10 

Sweetwater  85  51  76  56 /   0   0   0   0 

Ozona       87  58  72  57 /  10  20  30  30 

Brady       81  56  69  56 /  20   0  10  30 



&&



.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

None.

&&



$$



SHORT TERM...Daniels

LONG TERM....TP

AVIATION...SK