FXUS64 KSHV 200547 AFDSHV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 1247 AM CDT Fri Mar 20 2026 ...New DISCUSSION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 100 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026 - Warming trend will continue across the Four State Region through the upcoming Weekend. - A weak cold front will backdoor its way into our region on Monday helping to temper temperatures slightly but that cool down won't last long with the warming trend continuing again by mid to late next week. - With no precipitation in the forecast through at least the next 7 days, wildfire concerns will continue growing through the forecast period. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1052 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026 Some scattered cumulus has begun to develop in the lee of the Ouachitas over the past several hours. These clouds are likely to move southeast following the upper-level flow before the moisture mixes out and the clouds dissipate before making it far into the Four State Region tonight. On the south side of the region, some low cloud development is still considered probable as the night goes on. The forecast still leans toward low clouds rather than fog, mainly due to how dry our airmass continues to be. These low clouds should lift and clear as mixing gets going Friday morning, leaving plenty of sunshine in its wake. Upper-level ridging out west will continue to keep skies clear and temperatures steadily warmer through the rest of the week. Temperatures could be near record for many areas for Saturday and Sunday, with temperatures nearing 90 in southeast OK and east TX and mid 80s elsewhere. Southwesterly winds at the surface could make for a taste of a desert-like climate, with humidity values tanking into the 20 and 30 percents by Sunday. Today's model guidance has continued to suggest that the high pressure center in the Desert Southwest helping keep us warm will begin to weaken this weekend, allowing for quasi-zonal flow aloft to return Sunday night. After which, a cold front will be able to press southward towards the region. Models remain inconsistent on how the front will be able to move south, which will influence the Monday afternoon highs. The latest guidance has much of the region staying in the low to mid 80s with only parts of southwest AR seeing cooler temperatures in the mid 70s. Any cooldown from this front will be shortlived as temperatures rebound and rise through the rest of the period. Fire weather will continue to be a major concern due to the extremely dry fuels and periods of low humidity. Members of the public should continue to follow guidance from local officials on outdoor burning. 57 && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 640 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026 VFR conditions will continue through the 20/00Z TAF period. Areas of thin cirrus should continue to increase from the NNW late this evening/overnight, with cigs possible over portions of Srn AR/NCntrl LA. Areas of FU from prescribed burns over portions of Deep E TX/NCntrl LA may also settle down to the sfc this evening once mixing ceases, and may result in some vsby reductions mainly at LFK/MLU through mid to late evening. Otherwise, the cirrus cigs should diminish through the morning Friday, although some low stratus with patchy FG will be possible after 10Z mainly over Lower Toledo Bend Country and Cntrl LA, but should not affect the LFK terminal. This moisture lyr will remain quite thin, and will quickly mix out by mid-morning. S winds 3-8kts tonight will become SW 8-12kts after 15Z. /15/ && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Issued at 100 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026 Spotter activation is not expected at this time but the wildfire threat will continue to increase across the entire Four State Region due to the ongoing drought conditions. Please report any wildfire activity to your local fire department and other local officials. 13 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SHV 80 57 85 60 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 80 54 85 59 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 81 51 85 54 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 82 58 86 61 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 80 54 85 58 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 82 58 87 61 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 82 57 86 59 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 80 54 84 59 / 0 0 0 0 && .SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...57 AVIATION...15