FXUS64 KSHV 022323 AFDSHV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 523 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1030 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026 - A cold front and upper level low will allow for overnight showers with increasing coverage and a few thunderstorms on Tuesday, ending overnight. - Below average 50s for highs and 30s for lows return in the wake of the front for Wednesday and Thursday. Then warmer temperatures for Friday and upcoming busy weekend. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1001 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026 A cold front approaching from the northwest will move across the region on Tuesday. Southerly flow ahead of the front will allow for continued moisture advection with dewpoint values in the upper 40s to lower 50s tonight increasing to the upper 50s to lower 60s on Tuesday. An upper-trough, in conjunction with the front, to provide enough instability to generate showers across the region beginning late tonight into early Tuesday. The combination of temps climbing into the mid 60s across portions of north Louisiana and Deep East Texas on Tuesday afternoon along with elevated dew point values in the lower 60s, will allow for a few isolated thunderstorms in the afternoon along the front. Showers to shift southeast across north Louisiana on Tuesday evening into the overnight hours before finally exiting the region by daybreak. Upper-level ridge to rebuild across the ArkLaTex in the wake of the front with dry conditions prevailing through the remainder of the forecast period. Temperatures to be generally driven by the location of the surface high with the coldest overnight low temperatures near freezing on Thursday night as the high becomes established over the ArkLaTex. Late in the workweek, however, expect a gradual warming trend as the surface high shifts south of the region with weekend temperatures ranging from the upper 60s to lower 70s and lows in the 40s. /05/ && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 517 PM CST Mon Feb 2 2026 For the 03/00Z TAFs, high cloud decks will continue to increase from the southwest through the coming hours, remaining VFR through about 03/06Z, followed by widespread lowering to MVFR by 03/12Z and IFR into the morning hours. Showers and storms will increase from the northwest after midnight, spreading areawide through the morning and tapering off through the afternoon. Conditions will start to improve by the end of this forecast period with the passage of the front. South winds will continue at 5 to 10 kts through most of the forecast period, pivoting to westerly and northerly tomorrow afternoon. /26/ && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Issued at 1030 AM CST Mon Feb 2 2026 Forecast thunderstorms on Tuesday and through the overnight along and south of I-20 from Texas into Louisiana, are not expected to become severe. Spotter activation is not expected at this time. /24/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SHV 51 65 38 55 / 30 90 10 0 MLU 45 62 37 52 / 0 90 40 0 DEQ 42 61 30 53 / 40 60 0 0 TXK 50 64 35 54 / 40 80 0 0 ELD 45 60 33 52 / 20 90 10 0 TYR 53 65 38 57 / 30 80 0 0 GGG 51 66 37 58 / 40 90 10 0 LFK 52 66 40 59 / 20 90 20 0 && .SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...05 AVIATION...26