FXUS64 KOUN 032303 AFDOUN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Norman OK 503 PM CST Tue Feb 3 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 500 PM CST Tue Feb 3 2026 - Normal to above normal temperatures into the weekend. - Light rain and snow possible late tonight into Wednesday. - Fire danger conditions will be increasing toward the end of this week. && .NEAR TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 1141 AM CST Tue Feb 3 2026 The cold front cleared SE parts of the fa earlier this morning. The airmass behind the front is not particularly cold although temperatures this afternoon are expected to be generally 5 to 15 degrees cooler than yesterday across most of the area. Models show mid/upper trough moving across the region tonight into Wednesday with another shot of cooler air moving into the area. There is a chance (20%-40%) for light precipitation later tonight into Wednesday as the trough approaches and moves across the region. Most of the precipitation is expected to fall as rain late tonight (after midnight) although the rain may mix with or change over to snow in some locations, especially in parts of north central and central OK. Very little to no snow accumulation is expected. && .SHORT TERM... (Wednesday through Thursday night) Issued at 1141 AM CST Tue Feb 3 2026 Precipitation chances (20%-40%) associated with the previously mentioned trough will continue across at least parts of the fa through the day Wednesday with chances shifting from north to south. The primary precipitation type will continue to be light rain but some snow could mix in or a change over to snow for a time Wednesday morning primarily in parts of north central and central OK. Very little to no snow accumulation continues to be expected with rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch forecasted. With the re-enforcing shot previously mentioned, temperatures on Wednesday are expected to be a few degrees cooler than today with highs in the mid/upper 40s in north central OK to the mid/upper 50s in parts of western and southern OK and western north TX. These temperatures are around normal for early Feb. and are expected to be the coolest temperatures of the week. Models show the sfc high moving across the region Wednesday night with southwest winds returning to the area by early Thursday. Models also show another weak front moving across the area Thursday afternoon/night. Despite the front, warmer temperatures are expected Thursday with highs in the 60s to around 70 across the area. && .LONG TERM... (Friday through Monday) Issued at 1254 AM CST Tue Feb 3 2026 Upper ridging starts building in from the south as our warming trend persists Friday into the start of the weekend with gusty south winds by Saturday. Expecting unseasonably mild temperatures for both afternoons well in the 70s which is nearly 20 degrees warmer than normal for early February. A system coming down across the U.S. Midwest may push a cold front across the Central through Southern Plains on Sunday ending our warming trend yet still mild 60s temperatures. An upper low may close and cut-off over the Baja Peninsula on Sunday with increasing gulf moisture transport across Texas in the lower levels potentially forming a dryline across western Texas by Monday morning thus destabilizing western north Texas. A series of mid-level shortwave expelled from this stalled warm Pacific system will increase rain chances across our area on Monday with a few thunderstorms possible across our southwestern CWA near and south of the Red River. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 500 PM CST Tue Feb 3 2026 Northerly winds will diminish this evening, then become gusty again tomorrow afternoon. There are low chances for light precipitation across much of the area tomorrow morning; mainly light rain, but north central Oklahoma could see a rain / snow mix. Day && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Oklahoma City OK 34 50 30 65 / 20 30 0 0 Hobart OK 32 55 27 67 / 20 20 0 0 Wichita Falls TX 35 57 31 68 / 0 30 0 0 Gage OK 30 55 26 69 / 20 20 0 0 Ponca City OK 27 46 25 63 / 20 20 0 0 Durant OK 34 52 31 64 / 0 10 0 0 && .OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. TX...None. && $$ NEAR TERM...25 SHORT TERM...25 LONG TERM....68 AVIATION...14