FXUS64 KOHX 191527 AFDOHX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 1027 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1027 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026 - Mostly dry weather with a warming trend through Sunday. - Low rain chances (<30%) on Monday associated with a cold front passage. && .SHORT TERM... (Rest of today through Friday) Issued at 1027 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026 Clouds have cleared and made the way for sunshine in the mid-state. Temperatures will continue to warm into the 60s and 70s, with some passing clouds possible. Northwesterly flow aloft makes for easy passage for shortwaves across the state, but some surface high pressure to our east should keep things at bay for the remainder of the work week. This high pressure will allow for SW winds across Middle Tennessee, continuing the flow of WAA. Highs into Friday should reflect this, getting into the upper 70s. && .LONG TERM... (Friday Night through next Thursday) Issued at 1027 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026 High pressure will hold strong to our east and south into the weekend, letting our temperatures continue to be much warmer than average. Highs on Sunday look to reach the mid 80s, which would threaten current high temperature records for this time of year. This dry period will be brief for parts of the area on the Cumberland Plateau, however, as some low end rain chances (<30%) enter with a cold front. QPF with this does not look high currently, but there is still quite a bit of divergence in the guidance so a bit too soon to say much more on this opportunity for precipitation. Guidance has seemed to trend downward on the existence of rain showers in our area for this front, so we will continue to monitor this trend as it evolves. After the cold front on Monday, highs will return to the 60s and 70s through the remainder of the forecast period with surface high pressure looking to build in behind the front. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 537 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026 VFR conditions will continue for the taf period. Light winds will increase to 5-8 kts out of the S/SSW after 15z before decreasing below 5 kts after 20/00z. Winds at BNA will increase to 5-10 kts again after 20/14z. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 72 49 79 59 / 0 0 10 0 Clarksville 72 51 80 58 / 0 0 0 0 Crossville 64 43 72 55 / 0 0 10 10 Columbia 72 48 79 57 / 0 0 0 0 Cookeville 65 47 73 56 / 0 0 10 10 Jamestown 65 44 72 55 / 0 0 10 10 Lawrenceburg 71 48 77 57 / 0 0 0 0 Murfreesboro 71 47 78 57 / 0 0 10 0 Waverly 72 52 79 58 / 10 0 0 0 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Holley LONG TERM....Holley AVIATION.....Reagan