FXUS64 KOHX 190317

AFDOHX



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Nashville TN

1017 PM CDT Wed Mar 18 2026



...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...



.KEY MESSAGES...

Updated at 1015 PM CDT Wed Mar 18 2026



- Mostly dry weather with a warming trend through Sunday.



- Low rain chances (<30%) on Monday associated with a cold front 

  passage.



&&



.SHORT TERM...

(Tonight through Friday Night)

Issued at 1015 PM CDT Wed Mar 18 2026



Synoptically we'll remain in a favorable pattern for dry, stable 

weather through Friday thanks to a ridge across the West and 

a trough across the East which situates us in northwesterly flow

aloft. High pressure will remain just to our east which will 

promote continued southerly to southwesterly winds Thursday and 

Friday. Afternoon temperatures will be much warmer on Friday as 

southwesterly winds/warm advection increases ahead of a 

front/clipper system passing to our northeast.



&&



.LONG TERM...

(Saturday through next Thursday)

Issued at 1015 PM CDT Wed Mar 18 2026



Not much is expected to change with the overall weather pattern

this weekend into next week. Guidance favors continued

northwesterly flow aloft and passing shortwaves in the region. 

The most notable system will be Sunday night into Monday as a 

stronger cold front passes through the TN Valley bringing a brief 

cool-down after low rain chances (<30%). We should be back on the

warm-up again mid next week. All things considered, this is a 

very good weather pattern.



&&



.AVIATION...

(00Z TAFS)

Issued at 1015 PM CDT Wed Mar 18 2026



All Middle TN airports are VFR through the TAF period with S to SW

winds 5-10 kts tonight into Thursday.



&&



.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Nashville      41  72  48  78 /   0   0   0   0 

Clarksville    42  73  49  79 /   0   0   0   0 

Crossville     35  64  42  70 /   0   0   0  10 

Columbia       39  71  47  78 /   0   0   0   0 

Cookeville     38  65  45  73 /   0   0   0   0 

Jamestown      36  64  43  71 /   0  10   0   0 

Lawrenceburg   39  70  48  76 /   0   0   0   0 

Murfreesboro   39  71  47  77 /   0   0   0   0 

Waverly        43  71  50  78 /   0   0   0   0 



&&



.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

None.

&&



$$



SHORT TERM...Sizemore

LONG TERM....Sizemore

AVIATION.....Sizemore