FXUS64 KLZK 211125 AAA AFDLZK Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Little Rock AR 625 AM CDT Mon Sep 21 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1256 AM CDT Mon Sep 21 2026 - A cold front will progress south across the state Monday bringing a few showers/storms to the area - Behind the front, much cooler temperatures expected through the week - Little improvement in wildfire danger and drought conditions expected over the next 7 days && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1256 AM CDT Mon Sep 21 2026 Early morning radar data and sfc obs indicate a cold front draped from northeast Oklahoma to southern Missouri and Illinois. Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms were persisting from northeast Texas to northwest Arkansas toward the St. Louis area. Well ahead of this activity, radar data was sampling an extended outflow boundary from near KLRF to KHKA. Temperatures across the state were generally in the 70s F with dewpoint values in the 60s F. Throughout the day the cold front will make gradual progress southward across Arkansas but daytime highs are still expected to climb well into the 90s F. Temperatures will likely hold in the 80s F across northwest parts of the state today. Additional showers and storms may develop throughout the day across Arkansas, but short term hi-res guidance remains underwhelming regarding overall coverage and forecast POPs reflect that. After today, much cooler temperatures are expected to filter into the state as sfc ridging builds in from the north behind the cold front. Coolest readings are expected across north-central portions of the state from Wed-Sat with highs in some spots struggling to climb out of the upper 70s F at times. Overnight lows will likely dip down into the 50s as well. Elsewhere, much more comfortable but near/above normal temperatures will be seen. By the weekend, temperatures may begin to warm once again as the mid-level ridge attempts to build back north across the Southern/Central Plains. Dry conditions will be noted through the week with only slight chances for precip possible by the weekend. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 622 AM CDT Mon Sep 21 2026 Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will be noted across the area today as a cold front moves south across the state. Coverage of precip is expected to remain limited and most terminals shouldn't see impacts. VFR conditions will be common along with light/variable winds. Northern AR terminals could see decreasing cigs after 22/06z. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 95 67 88 61 / 20 20 10 0 Camden AR 98 70 94 67 / 20 10 0 0 Harrison AR 87 65 82 60 / 40 20 20 0 Hot Springs AR 95 70 89 65 / 20 10 0 0 Little Rock AR 95 71 90 66 / 20 10 10 0 Monticello AR 97 71 93 69 / 20 10 10 0 Mount Ida AR 94 66 90 63 / 30 10 10 0 Mountain Home AR 88 65 84 59 / 40 20 10 0 Newport AR 95 69 88 63 / 20 20 10 0 Pine Bluff AR 97 69 91 65 / 20 10 10 0 Russellville AR 94 69 89 65 / 30 10 10 0 Searcy AR 96 68 89 62 / 20 10 10 0 Stuttgart AR 98 71 92 66 / 20 10 10 0 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...67 LONG TERM....67 AVIATION...67