FXUS64 KLUB 192311

AFDLUB



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Lubbock TX

611 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026



...New AVIATION...



.KEY MESSAGES...

Issued at 611 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026



- Unseasonably hot weather will continue each day through the

  weekend with new record highs possible through Sunday.



- Elevated to critical fire danger is possible Saturday and

  Sunday.



- A brief cooldown is expected Monday before above normal 

  temperatures return next week.



&&



.SHORT TERM...

(This evening through Friday)

Issued at 129 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026



Hot and dry conditions will persist the rest of today through 

Friday. The upper high currently over Arizona, clearly 

distinguishable on WV imagery, will remain mostly stationary through 

Friday evening. A surface trough is currently moving through our 

northern zones as off noon and is bringing a wind shift with winds on 

the north side of the trough being northerly and winds south of the 

trough being southwesterly. Despite winds being out of the north, 

there is nothing cold about the wind shift. We will still see highs 

reach into the 90s area wide today. Warm afternoon temps will help 

to translate to warm overnight lows, upper 40s to mid 50s. Little 

will change with the pattern Friday with a nearly identical day 

expected with the exception of highs possibly being a degree or two 

warmer over today's highs.



&&



.LONG TERM...

(Friday night through next Wednesday)

Issued at 129 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026



The upper high will slowly push eastward through the weekend and 

will result in afternoon highs reaching the mid/upper 90s on the 

Caprock and around 100 off the Caprock by Saturday. Some relief from 

the heat should be on the way starting Sunday afternoon. The upper 

high will quickly flatten by Sunday afternoon and will be followed 

by a cold during the late afternoon into the evening. The timing of 

the front will determine how warm afternoon highs will be Sunday. 

Currently highs are still expected to range from 90-100 across the 

FA. Monday will hold a different story as the cold front will keep 

afternoon highs in the 70s. This will be very short lived as the 

upper high will be out for revenge and will build over the Desert 

Southwest once again by Tuesday but will be in a weaker state, H589 

vs the current H596. It is expected to move eastward through mid 

week before flattening once again by late next week.



&&



.AVIATION...

(00Z TAFS)

Issued at 611 PM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026



VFR and light winds will continue at all TAF sites.



&&



.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

None.

&&



$$



SHORT TERM...51

LONG TERM....51

AVIATION...30