FXUS64 KJAN 020530 AFDJAN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jackson MS 1130 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Rain chances pick up late Tuesday into Wednesday before drier conditions late week into next weekend. && .MESOSCALE UPDATE... Issued at 928 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026 Although northwest flow aloft will continue across our CWA tonight, a >1030mb surface high centered over the Louisiana coast will shift east resulting in a low level southerly wind. This south wind will help keep temperatures warmer than last night. Temperatures have already dropped below freezing and were on track to bottom out in the low to mid 20s which is still colder than normal. /22/ && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 114 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026 Surface high pressure over the Lower MS Valley will continue to bring quiet conditions for the next couple of days. Tonight's lows (low/mid 20s) will remain below freezing across the area. As the high continues southeastward, highs (upper 40s-near 60 degrees)/low (ranging in the 30s-40s) will continue to run below seasonal to near seasonal averages. Moisture return is expected ahead of the an incoming shortwave trough, bringing showers and an isolated t-storm chances back on Tuesday into Wednesday with the greatest chances Tuesday evening. Areawide PoPs between 50-90% are expected, setting up for a wet mid-week. A frontal boundary will swing through Wednesday afternoon/evening dropping overnight lows back to the 20s. Once the boundary passes, quieter weather pattern expected as another surface high settles into the southeast. Temps will return to seasonal averages by the end of the period. /SW/ && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1130 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026 Quiet conditions will persist through the entire TAF period with VFR ceilings prevailing. /CR/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Jackson 25 60 41 63 / 0 0 0 70 Meridian 22 57 36 65 / 0 0 0 50 Vicksburg 27 59 42 61 / 0 0 0 80 Hattiesburg 25 60 38 69 / 0 0 0 20 Natchez 27 62 43 65 / 0 0 0 60 Greenville 25 52 40 53 / 0 0 0 90 Greenwood 25 55 40 56 / 0 0 0 90 && .JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MS...None. LA...None. AR...None. && $$ 22/SW/CR