FXUS64 KJAN 020333 AAA AFDJAN Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Jackson MS 933 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026 ...New MESOSCALE UPDATE... .KEY MESSAGES... - Rain chances pick up late Tuesday into Wednesday before drier conditions late week into next weekend. && .MESOSCALE UPDATE... Issued at 928 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026 Although northwest flow aloft will continue across our CWA tonight, a >1030mb surface high centered over the Louisiana coast will shift east resulting in a low level southerly wind. This south wind will help keep temperatures warmer than last night. Temperatures have already dropped below freezing and were on track to bottom out in the low to mid 20s which is still colder than normal. /22/ && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 114 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026 Surface high pressure over the Lower MS Valley will continue to bring quiet conditions for the next couple of days. Tonight's lows (low/mid 20s) will remain below freezing across the area. As the high continues southeastward, highs (upper 40s-near 60 degrees)/low (ranging in the 30s-40s) will continue to run below seasonal to near seasonal averages. Moisture return is expected ahead of the an incoming shortwave trough, bringing showers and an isolated t-storm chances back on Tuesday into Wednesday with the greatest chances Tuesday evening. Areawide PoPs between 50-90% are expected, setting up for a wet mid-week. A frontal boundary will swing through Wednesday afternoon/evening dropping overnight lows back to the 20s. Once the boundary passes, quieter weather pattern expected as another surface high settles into the southeast. Temps will return to seasonal averages by the end of the period. /SW/ && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 521 PM CST Sun Feb 1 2026 VFR conditions wl prevail through the TAF period. /22/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Jackson 25 60 42 65 / 0 0 0 60 Meridian 22 58 36 65 / 0 0 0 40 Vicksburg 27 60 43 63 / 0 0 0 80 Hattiesburg 25 61 38 69 / 0 0 0 20 Natchez 27 62 44 67 / 0 0 0 60 Greenville 25 53 40 54 / 0 0 0 90 Greenwood 25 55 40 57 / 0 0 0 90 && .JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MS...None. LA...None. AR...None. && $$ 22/SW/22