FXUS64 KHUN 242329

AFDHUN



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Huntsville AL

629 PM CDT Fri Oct 24 2025



...New AVIATION...



.KEY MESSAGES...

Updated at 252 PM CDT Fri Oct 24 2025



 - Medium to high chances for rain and a few thunderstorms Sunday

   through Monday with marginal risk of excessive rainfall.



 - Low to medium chances for rain linger through mid-week.



 - Cooler temperatures arrive late next week.



&&



.NEAR TERM...

(Tonight)

Issued at 252 PM CDT Fri Oct 24 2025



Surface high pressure layered from southern Quebec to the central

Appalachians will slowly build more to the east over the weekend.

A storm system developing over the southern Great Plains will head 

to the east, bringing an increase in clouds, and return rain

chances to the area beginning Saturday night.



Before then, despite a gradual clouds from the developing system

will result in partly/mostly cloudy skies tonight. Lows tonight

should cool into low/mid 40s with light winds. 



&&



.SHORT TERM...

(Saturday through Sunday night)

Issued at 252 PM CDT Fri Oct 24 2025



One more day of dry weather to close out the week, before the

system to our west returns rain chances to the Tennessee Valley.

Under increasing clouds, high temperatures should rise into the

low/mid 70s, with SE winds of 5-10 mph. 



Showers from the approaching system should begin overspreading 

the area Saturday evening. Not as cool Sat night with lows in the 

upper 40s to lower 50s. Sunday looks to be a showery day, as the 

system moves across the Deep South. With more clouds and moderate 

to high rain chances (60-80% in the afternoon), cooler

temperatures are forecast. Highs on Sunday will only warm into 

the low/mid 60s. 



High rain chances should continue Sun night, as the system moves

across the area. Low temperatures should cool into the upper 50s

to lower 60s. Somewhat higher levels of instability could bring 

isolated to scattered elevated thunderstorms embedded within more 

widespread showers. Rainfall amounts into the night if heavy could

result in ponding of water in low spots, as well as a non- zero 

chance of flooding. This region remains in a Marginal Risk (1/4) 

for excessive rainfall producing runoff Sunday. 



&&



.LONG TERM...

(Monday through Thursday) 

Issued at 1014 PM CDT Thu Oct 23 2025



Long term guidance tends to diverge pretty significantly as we get

into next week regarding the evolution of an upper low/troughing

over the eastern US. This will ultimately lead to cooler

temperatures toward the end of the week, but rain chances remain a

bit more uncertain due to disagreements on where the better

forcing/moisture will line up. For now, we will keep low to medium

rain and thunder chances in through Thursday, with the best

chances Tuesday into Wednesday. The good news is that there is no

strong signal for severe weather or flooding at this time. Highs

will generally reach the 60s each afternoon with lows cooling

throughout the week, beginning in the 50s but cooling to the 40s

toward the later half of the week. It is still pretty early, but

signs are pointing to cooler temperatures as we approach

Halloween, so be on the lookout for future forecast updates when

planning for outdoor activities.



&&



.AVIATION...

(00Z TAFS)

Issued at 629 PM CDT Fri Oct 24 2025



VFR conditions are forecast through the TAF period at both

locations with NE/E winds veering to the southeast on Saturday. No

fog or rain is expected at this time.



&&



.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

AL...None.

TN...None.

&&



$$



NEAR TERM...RSB

SHORT TERM....RSB

LONG TERM....25

AVIATION...25