FXUS64 KHUN 071048 AFDHUN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Huntsville AL 548 AM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025 ...New AVIATION... .NEAR TERM... (Today) Issued at 316 AM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025 Light, sporadic showers can be seen on radar currently from Cullman and Morgan counties up through Jackson, Dekalb, and Marshall counties. This activity is expected to dwindle over the next couple of hours. While a low chance (10-30%) of showers may redevelop over these areas later this morning and into the early afternoon, most locations will remain dry. Cloud cover is expected to gradually clear from northwest to southeast later today, with clear skies this evening. However, clouds and cold air advection from northwest flow will keep our high temperatures from warming past the mid to upper 50s today. Make sure to grab a jacket on your way out the door this morning! && .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Wednesday) Issued at 1041 PM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025 The short term period will be defined by dry and much cooler weather as the aforementioned trough continues to dig over the far east CONUS and sfc high pressure shifts south through the OH River Valley. Overnight lows will fall into the upper 30s to low 40s with some locations potentially at risk for frost tomorrow night. Highs on Tuesday will mimic Monday only rising into the mid to upper 50s. The coldest air will be felt Tuesday night into Wednesday morning as the sfc high centers just to our east and radiational cooling allows temps to fall to near or just below the freezing mark. Frost/Freeze headlines will likely be issued for this timeframe, so don't put away those winter coats and clothing just yet. Weak ridging will slowly shift east on Wednesday and a return to southerly flow and gradual height rises will allow temps to reach the mid to upper 60s on Wednesday ahead of a shortwave disturbance that will be responsible for our next chance of rain. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday night through Sunday) Issued at 1041 PM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025 The aforementioned shortwave will dig through the Great Lakes region Wednesday night and a cold front will push east followed by longwave troughing that will dig into the Southeast by the weekend. A weak cold front will accompany the shortwave passage as a sfc low lifts into the Great Lakes. Low to medium chances (20-50%) of showers and maybe even embedded thunderstorms will increase Thursday morning first over NE AL and southern middle TN and then spread south and west into the remainder of the Tennessee Valley Thursday afternoon. The good news is that severe weather is not expected with this frontal passage. The upper level trough pushes to the east at the end of the week, bringing back dry weather to start the weekend. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 548 AM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025 MVFR to IFR CIGs were observed at the TAF sites at issuance. There is the potential for further reductions in CIGs to possibly LIFR (especially for HSV) through about 14Z. Conditions will then gradually improve through the day, with VFR anticipated by late afternoon/early this evening. There is a low chance (10-30%) of light showers redeveloping from central Alabama up through northeast Alabama today, but this is not expected to impact the terminals. Northwest winds between 5-10 knots and gusts to around 15-18 knots are expected through the day. Winds will then diminish this evening, becoming northerly late tonight. && .HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. TN...None. && $$ NEAR TERM...26 SHORT TERM....25 LONG TERM....25 AVIATION...26