FXUS64 KHUN 070532 AFDHUN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Huntsville AL 1232 AM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025 ...New AVIATION... .NEAR TERM... (Rest of tonight and Monday) Issued at 1041 PM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025 Light to occasionally moderate showers will continue to taper off tonight as a cold front moves through the area. Some lingering flooding may persist through the night especially in poor draining or low lying areas that received heavy rainfall over the past 24 hours. Drier air will slowly start to filter into the forecast area tonight and on Monday as high pressure builds to our west and an upper trough axis pushes east and centers over the Appalachians into the Tennessee Valley. Temperatures will fall to the mid to upper 40s tonight, making it the coolest night we have had in several days. We will transition to a drier and much colder airmass behind this front, and highs will be limited to the mid to upper 50s on Monday. Cloud cover will begin to thin tomorrow afternoon with occasionally breezy NNW flow through the day. && .SHORT TERM... (Monday night through Wednesday) Issued at 1041 PM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025 The short term period will be defined by dry and much cooler weather as the aforementioned trough continues to dig over the far east CONUS and sfc high pressure shifts south through the OH River Valley. Overnight lows will fall into the upper 30s to low 40s with some locations potentially at risk for frost tomorrow night. Highs on Tuesday will mimic Monday only rising into the mid to upper 50s. The coldest air will be felt Tuesday night into Wednesday morning as the sfc high centers just to our east and radiational cooling allows temps to fall to near or just below the freezing mark. Frost/Freeze headlines will likely be issued for this timeframe, so don't put away those winter coats and clothing just yet. Weak ridging will slowly shift east on Wednesday and a return to southerly flow and gradual height rises will allow temps to reach the mid to upper 60s on Wednesday ahead of a shortwave disturbance that will be responsible for our next chance of rain. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday night through Sunday) Issued at 1041 PM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025 The aforementioned shortwave will dig through the Great Lakes region Wednesday night and a cold front will push east followed by longwave troughing that will dig into the Southeast by the weekend. A weak cold front will accompany the shortwave passage as a sfc low lifts into the Great Lakes. Low to medium chances (20-50%) of showers and maybe even embedded thunderstorms will increase Thursday morning first over NE AL and southern middle TN and then spread south and west into the remainder of the Tennessee Valley Thursday afternoon. The good news is that severe weather is not expected with this frontal passage. The upper level trough pushes to the east at the end of the week, bringing back dry weather to start the weekend. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1232 AM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025 IFR CIGs are forecast to persist through the night, with perhaps some instances of LIFR CIGs by the early morning hours. Light showers continue to progress over north-central Alabama and will eventually move east of the area later tonight. Similarly, conditions are expected to gradually improve through the day, with MVFR by the afternoon and VFR once again by the late afternoon into the early evening as skies clear from northwest to southeast. Northwest winds around 5-10 knots with gusts to around 15-18 knots will be common through the day, but then diminish this evening. && .HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. TN...None. && $$ NEAR TERM...25 SHORT TERM....25 LONG TERM....25 AVIATION...26