FXUS64 KEWX 032329 AFDEWX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 529 PM CST Tue Feb 3 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Isolated showers over the Coastal Plains through this evening. - Brief cooldown midweek before above normal temperatures return Friday into the weekend. && .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Wednesday night) Issued at 1158 AM CST Tue Feb 3 2026 A humid Gulf airmass prevails over most of South-Central Texas this afternoon, but drier air is beginning to push in from the west across the Edwards Plateau behind a weak cold front. Bands of cumulus clouds are evident on satellite across the Coastal Plains, but the main corridor of low-level moisture transport is displaced to the east along with the bulk of shower activity over East Texas. Mesoscale models show a sharp moisture gradient briefly establishing roughly along a Schulenburg to Kenedy line this evening once the weak cold front reaches those areas. This should briefly serve as a focus for moderate showers and perhaps a thunderstorm or two after about 5 PM before rain chances push farther south and east overnight. The mid-level trough that brought the air into the region is already on its way out, which will pave the way for the spread of cooler and drier air along with a light northerly wind tonight. The 10 to 20 degree drop in dew points to start Wednesday will make for a more crisp morning with lows in the 30s over the Hill Country and Edwards Plateau and 40s elsewhere. A dry and sunny Wednesday afternoon is forecast with highs in the mid 60s to low 70s... about as seasonable as it gets for early February. A positively tilted trough and accompanying surface high pressure work their way across the area Wednesday night, bringing cooler temperatures in the 30s regionwide with light freezes in the Hill Country heading into Thursday morning. && .LONG TERM... (Thursday through next Tuesday) Issued at 1158 AM CST Tue Feb 3 2026 Towards the end of this week, broad troughing over the eastern CONUS is expected to very slowly propagate east while diffuse ridging and anticyclonic polar jet flow take shape over the western and eventually central US. This will favor dry weather and a warming trend through this weekend. Highs are forecast to warm into the 70s and low 80s over the weekend as southerly to southwesterly low-level flow kicks in and allows warm Mexican plateau air to spread across the area. Given the split flow pattern in the upper troposphere over the western US this weekend, there is low confidence regarding rain chances early next week. This has largely to do with wide uncertainties in the position and evolution of troughing within weak steering flow south of the ridge. Regardless, confidence is higher that the warmth beginning late this week will continue into early next week as the overarching ridge remains in place. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 525 PM CST Tue Feb 3 2026 VFR conditions are forecast for all area terminals through Wednesday night. Northerly winds are forecast to prevail through the forecast period in the wake of today's cold front passage. Wind speeds are forecast to range from 5 to 15 knots and gusts up to 20 to 25 knots. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Austin Camp Mabry 44 64 39 66 / 0 0 0 0 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 43 65 37 67 / 0 0 0 0 New Braunfels Muni Airport 44 65 37 66 / 0 0 0 0 Burnet Muni Airport 40 62 36 65 / 0 0 0 0 Del Rio Intl Airport 43 70 38 68 / 0 0 0 0 Georgetown Muni Airport 41 63 36 66 / 0 0 0 0 Hondo Muni Airport 44 69 36 67 / 0 0 0 0 San Marcos Muni Airport 44 66 36 67 / 0 0 00 La Grange - Fayette Regional 45 64 37 66 / 10 0 0 0 San Antonio Intl Airport 46 67 39 66 / 0 0 0 0 Stinson Muni Airport 48 68 40 67 / 0 0 0 0 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...17 LONG TERM....17 AVIATION...17