FXUS64 KCRP 191114 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 614 AM CDT Tue Aug 19 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 609 AM CDT Tue Aug 19 2025 - Medium to High rain chances persisting through this weekend - Highs will be below 100 beginning later this week lasting through the weekend && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1136 PM CDT Mon Aug 18 2025 Current conditions around the region tonight are quiet and warm under mostly clear skies. Heading into Today we will embark on a wetter pattern. The aforementioned shortwaves are expected to continue riding the periphery of the ridge through this weekend combined with PWs generally above 2.25". This is expected to allow for persistent showers and thunderstorms across South Texas until later in the week. PoPs increase to a medium to high (45-75%) as a mid-level disturbance approaches the region from the NE beginning Today, providing a focus for the convection. The increase in PoPs should bring down heat stress conditions across the area during the latter portions of the work week through this weekend, though a gradual warming trend can be expected next week as we dry out. Expected rainfall totals will likely be up to 1" though some isolated higher amounts will be possible. Let's hope we can get some of this beneficial rain over the reservoir! && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 609 AM CDT Tue Aug 19 2025 Not much change from previous thinking. Although fog is less prevelant this morning. There is still a brief 1 hour window of IFR conditions possible near ALI this morning due to patchy fog. Elsewhere VFR conditions prevail. Expect showers and thunderstorms to develop by early afternoon and move southwest across the Coastal Bend into the brush country by late afternoon/early evening. Storms should end by mid this evening with the loss of heating. VFR conditions with light winds and a high cirrus cloud deck is expected tonight. && .MARINE... Issued at 1136 PM CDT Mon Aug 18 2025 A light to gentle breeze (BF 2-3) is expected to prevail this week. Rain chances will return today with a medium chance (30-65%) for each afternoon through the end of the weekend. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 96 76 96 75 / 30 30 30 10 Victoria 97 74 99 75 / 70 20 40 30 Laredo 104 79 102 78 / 20 30 40 20 Alice 99 74 99 74 / 40 30 40 20 Rockport 94 78 94 78 / 40 30 30 20 Cotulla 102 77 102 78 / 20 30 30 20 Kingsville 97 75 97 74 / 30 30 40 10 Navy Corpus 91 80 91 80 / 30 30 30 10 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...NP/92 AVIATION...JM/75