FXUS64 KBRO 250328 AFDBRO Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Brownsville TX 1028 PM CDT Fri Oct 24 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1018 PM CDT Fri Oct 24 2025 -Above normal temperatures will continue through Tuesday across Deep South Texas with cooler temperatures expected by the middle of next week. -An approaching cold front today had brought breezy conditions along the coast and Small Craft Advisories are in effect through Saturday afternoon. -Rain chances for today continue to decrease and are now at 10-20%. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1018 PM CDT Fri Oct 24 2025 A cold front pushing into Texas has increased the pressure gradient across the region, bringing breezy conditions across coastal areas and the Gulf through this afternoon. As a result of the increased pressure gradient, beach conditions will become hazardous this morning with the Rip Current Risk increasing from moderate to high. As the front pushes into central Texas by this evening, rain chances will increase slightly but latest guidance continues to lower these chances, now remaining under 20%. Sunday morning the front will wash out before passing through the region. Generally dry conditions are expected through the remainder of the forecast with temperatures remaining 5-10 degrees above normal through Tuesday. Another cold front is expected to push through the region late Tuesday/early Wendesday bringing a bit of a relief to the hot temperatures. This could also bring a low chance (10-20%) of rain late Tuesday night but the main impact will be cooler temperatures. Wednesday through Friday will likely be a few degrees below normal for afternoon high temperatures with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 603 PM CDT Fri Oct 24 2025 VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period. Southeasterly winds will increase on Saturday in response to an increasing pressure gradient. Gusts on Saturday afternoon could reach as high as 30 kts. && .MARINE... Issued at 1018 PM CDT Fri Oct 24 2025 A tightening pressure gradient has lead to elevated winds and seas on the waters off the lower Texas coast. A Small Craft Advisory has been issued until 7 PM tonight for the Laguna Madre and Gulf waters. Isolated to scattered showers will also be possible primarily today into tonight. Another cold front will move through the waters off the lower Texas coast Tuesday night/Wednesday morning, with winds increasing in its wake leading to the potential for Small Craft Caution or Small Craft Advisories Wednesday into Thursday as well as another chance for showers and thunderstorms. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1018 PM CDT Fri Oct 24 2025 Winds will need to be monitored next Wednesday and possibly Thursday, as relative humidity values fall into the teens and 20s. Right now, winds could be high enough, primarily along the coast, to pose a threat for wildfire spread. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BROWNSVILLE 91 77 92 77 / 0 0 10 10 HARLINGEN 94 72 95 73 / 0 0 10 10 MCALLEN 96 75 98 76 / 0 0 10 10 RIO GRANDE CITY 96 71 96 71 / 0 0 0 10 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 86 80 88 79 / 10 0 10 20 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 90 75 91 74 / 0 0 10 10 && .BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM CDT Saturday for GMZ130-132-135- 150-155-170-175. && $$ SHORT TERM...68 LONG TERM....68 AVIATION...68