FXUS64 KBRO 070808 AFDBRO Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Brownsville TX 308 AM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Tuesday) Issued at 304 AM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025 Deep South Texas and the Rio Grande Valley, initially under the influence of a zonal mid-level flow, will increasingly be dominated by 500 mb high pressure that will build over the northwest coast of Mexico. Overall, this will produce dry weather across the BRO CWFA with limited cloud cover. Temperature-wise, refreshing well below normal daytime highs and overnight lows today and tonight, respectively, will moderate to more near normal levels on Tuesday as an onshore flow becomes established and cloud cover overhead remains nearly nonexistent. Finally, a High Risk of rip currents remains in effect at the local beaches until around sunset today due to elevated, but improving, seas. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday night through Sunday) Issued at 304 AM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025 Quiet weather will prevail through the period with a dry mainly northwest flow overhead. Mostly clear skies and light southeast winds are expected Tuesday night with surface high pressure across the western Gulf. Low temperatures are expected to fall into the low to mid 50s across much of the region Tuesday night, except for the 60s near the coast. Wednesday will be warm with highs in the 80s, except for the 70s at the beaches. Overnight lows are expected to remain below normal through much of the week. Daytime high temperatures will gradually warm each day. Dry weather is also anticipated with no chance of rain. Light to moderate south to southeast winds are forecast Tuesday through Thursday night with high pressure across the Gulf. Winds should back to a northeast then east on Friday as a brief surge of high pressure arrives. Breezy south to southeast winds are expected on Sunday as the pressure gradient increases. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1207 AM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025 VFR is expected at the aerodromes through the next 24 hours, with clearing skies with veering and diminishing winds. && .MARINE... Issued at 304 AM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025 Today through Tuesday: Buoy 42020 reported north winds around 19 knots gusting to around 25 knots with seas slightly over 6.5 feet with a period of 7 seconds at 1:50 CDT/6:50 UTC. A Small Craft Advisory will remain in effect for the Gulf of America waters from 0 to 60 nautical miles offshore until midday today due to the weekend passage of a cold front. Afterwards, and through the rest of the period, steadily improving winds and seas will occur as high pressure becomes more dominant along the Lower Texas Coast. Tuesday night through Sunday...Favorable conditions will prevail along the Lower Texas Coast through much of the period. Light to moderate winds and seas of 1 to 3 feet are expected through late week. The pressure gradient strengthens by late in the weekend, resulting in increasing winds and building seas. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BROWNSVILLE 75 51 80 56 / 0 0 0 0 HARLINGEN 75 48 80 53 / 0 0 0 0 MCALLEN 77 53 83 57 / 0 0 0 0 RIO GRANDE CITY 77 49 82 54 / 0 0 0 0 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 70 60 73 64 / 0 0 0 0 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 73 53 77 57 / 0 0 0 0 && .BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...High Rip Current Risk through this evening for TXZ451-454-455. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for GMZ150- 155-170-175. && $$ SHORT TERM...66-Tomaselli LONG TERM....63-KC AVIATION...66-Tomaselli