FXUS64 KBRO 070515 AAA AFDBRO Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Brownsville TX 1215 AM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Monday night) Issued at 136 PM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025 A rather potent cold front for early April has kept temperatures in the low 60s for most locations, with MFE nudging into the mid 60s. With this in mind, and persistent northerly flow through the short term, have dropped temperatures a couple of degrees. Abundant sunshine will help with highs tomorrow afternoon, but allow temps to free fall in the evening due to radiational cooling. May not have gone low enough Monday night across the ranchlands. Along the beach, expect elevated and life-threatening surf conditions through Monday. && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday through next Sunday) Issued at 136 PM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025 Upper level ridging to the west-southwest will allow for dry conditions to persist throughout the long term forecast period for Deep South Texas. On Tuesday, temperatures are expected to be slightly below normal, slowly warming to seasonal levels by Thursday. This warming trend should continue through Sunday as temperatures warm slightly above seasonal levels in the upper 80s/lower 90s. No rain is expected between Tuesday and Sunday, and skies are expected to by sunny to partly cloudy. Winds are expected to be light to moderate, starting easterly on Tuesday and veering southeasterly by Thursday. On Friday, winds should back to a northeasterly direction before veering back to a southeasterly direction for the weekend. Due to the lighter winds and clearer skies, radiational cooling should be fairly strong through Friday night with lows in the upper 50s across the region. These low temperatures should begin to warm into the lower 60s by Saturday night into Sunday. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1207 AM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025 VFR is expected at the aerodromes through the next 24 hours, with clearing skies with veering and diminishing winds. && .MARINE... Issued at 136 PM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025 Now through Monday Night...Northerly winds continue through the short term, diminishing gradually into Monday night. Marine conditions quickly improve Monday night. Small Craft Advisories continue into at least Monday afternoon, with SCEC following. Tuesday through Sunday...Favorable marine conditions are expected to persist through the week as sea heights will remain low (between one to three feet) and winds should stay light to moderate. Easterly winds are expected Tuesday before shifting southeasterly. On Friday, winds will become northeasterly before shifting southeasterly again for the weekend. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BROWNSVILLE 50 79 56 81 / 0 0 0 0 HARLINGEN 46 79 53 84 / 0 0 0 0 MCALLEN 50 83 57 87 / 0 0 0 0 RIO GRANDE CITY 47 81 54 87 / 0 0 0 0 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 59 73 64 76 / 0 0 0 0 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 52 77 57 81 / 0 0 0 0 && .BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...High Rip Current Risk through this evening for TXZ451-454-455. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for GMZ150- 155-170-175. && $$