FXUS64 KBMX 202316 AFDBMX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 616 PM CDT Fri Mar 20 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 616 PM CDT FRI MAR 20 2026 - Well above average temperatures are expected through the weekend. && .DISCUSSION... (This afternoon through Thursday) Issued at 1222 PM CDT FRI MAR 20 2026 Big bubble, no trouble! Really nothing new to report this afternoon with the forecast, as near record highs will be possible this weekend due to ridging out west, and ridging in the Gulf. However, this ridging will begin to break down, as a trough is still expected to work through the Midwest Sunday night. The trend to watch this weekend will remain the placement of the cold front, as morning guidance continues pushing it farther south into the region. In turn, afternoon highs on Monday and Tuesday could end up slightly cooler than they currently are. With that being said, this front remains dry, with little rain expected for most of the next seven day. /44/ && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 616 PM CDT FRI MAR 20 2026 VFR conditions are expected over the period, with light W to SW winds and passing high clouds. 12 && .FIRE WEATHER... MinRH values will remain highly variable through the weekend, as conditions are expected to remain hot and dry. Because of that, afternoon mixing may be more than expected, lowering the forecast values. In general, MinRH values should linger in the low-30 and 40% through Sunday, before dropping even more behind a front by Tuesday. Given the warming trend, and the lack of forecast rainfall, fire weather concerns may start to increase by the middle of next week. && .CLIMATE... Issued at 1125 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2026 Record high temperatures in danger of breaking over the next few days: March 21: KEET: 87/2017 KTCL: 88/2017 March 22: KEET: 81/2011 KANB: 84/1904 KTCL: 86/1995 March 23: KEET: 82/2023 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Gadsden 52 82 55 84 / 0 10 10 0 Anniston 53 82 56 83 / 0 0 0 0 Birmingham 56 83 59 83 / 0 0 0 0 Tuscaloosa 54 84 57 85 / 0 0 0 0 Calera 53 83 57 84 / 0 0 0 0 Auburn 53 81 56 82 / 0 0 0 0 Montgomery 52 83 55 84 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 52 82 55 84 / 0 0 0 0 && .BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION.../44/ AVIATION...12