FXUS64 KBMX 201103 AFDBMX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Birmingham AL 603 AM CDT Fri Mar 20 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 603 AM CDT FRI MAR 20 2026 - Well above average temperatures are expected as we head into this weekend and onward. && .DISCUSSION... (Friday through next Thursday) Issued at 1125 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2026 We will continue with a warming trend as we head into this weekend. Guidance continues to indicate that the next seven days should be generally rain-free as surface ridging meanders from the Atlantic Seaboard to the SE US Fri and then over the Gulf this weekend. In addition, a large upper ridge is present over the WRN US. A front does approach by Mon along with an upper NW flow disturbance on Tue into Wed across C AL. However, with only meager moisture in place, we will probably only get a few clouds out of it. Latest guidance indicates a better chance that the front will make further progress through C AL than previous runs. This should help lower temperatures some for the first half of next week. Even so, readings will still be well above normal. 08 && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 603 AM CDT FRI MAR 20 2026 VFR TAFs are expected for the 24 hour forecast with surface ridging in place. Winds overnight will be light/variable to near calm. During the day, look for SW winds 7-9 knots with mixing. 16 && .FIRE WEATHER... MinRH values for this afternoon will likely range from the low-40% north, to the mid to low-20% range south. This will be the trend for most of the next week, as MinRH values remain variable under a strong upper high-pressure to our west, and a surface ridge to our south. Little to no rain is expected the next seven days, and drought conditions will likely expand given the upcoming warm stretch. && .CLIMATE... Issued at 1125 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2026 Record high temperatures in danger of breaking over the next few days: March 21: KEET: 87/2017 KTCL: 88/2017 March 22: KEET: 81/2011 KANB: 84/1904 KTCL: 86/1995 March 23: KEET: 82/2023 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Gadsden 78 52 82 55 / 0 0 10 10 Anniston 78 52 82 57 / 0 0 10 10 Birmingham 78 56 83 60 / 0 0 10 10 Tuscaloosa 81 55 85 58 / 0 0 10 10 Calera 79 53 85 58 / 0 0 10 10 Auburn 76 52 81 57 / 0 0 0 10 Montgomery 78 52 83 57 / 0 0 0 0 Troy 78 52 82 55 / 0 0 0 0 && .BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...08 AVIATION...16