FXUS64 KAMA 070809 AFDAMA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Amarillo TX 309 AM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025 ...New KEY MESSAGES, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 307 AM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025 -Mainly benign weather expected through the week with warming temperatures, especially next weekend. && .SHORT TERM ... (Today through Tuesday night) Issued at 307 AM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025 Pleasant weather is in store for today with highs in the mid to upper 60s with light west, then northerly, winds around 10 mph maybe less. Surface winds continue to stay light tonight as they return to the south. Clear skies with the light winds will allow temperatures to fall into the 30s with the exception of the Canadian River Valley and areas off the Caprock that may remain in the low 40s. Tomorrow, H85 temperatures warm with the development of a surface trough over eastern NM and the western Panhandles. This will allow temperatures to rise into the mid 70s to lower 80s for Tuesday. Winds should become south to westerly 10 to 15 mph under this surface trough with the northwest seeing some light and variable winds. Much warmer overnight temperatures, in the mid 40s across the FA, expected Tuesday night as H85 temperatures stay warm and winds stay closer to 10 mph allowing for some mixing. 36 && .LONG TERM ... (Wednesday through Sunday) Issued at 307 AM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025 Dry conditions expected to continue through the extended period with a slight cool down Wed into Thu behind a weak cold front. The FA will continue to be influenced by and upper level trough to the north and northeast over the Northern Great Plains into the Mid to Upper Mississippi River Valley allowing for northerly surface winds on Wed. Wed afternoon temperatures get restrained with the northerly winds. Then some slight CAA enables Thu to be the coolest day with afternoon temps in the lower 70s to the west and mid 70s to the eastern FA. Fri, temperatures begin to rise, back into the upper 70s to lower 80s, as an upper level ridge begins to build into the area Sat. With the ridge expected to be more prominent temperatures are expected to rise into the upper 80s to lower 90s for Sat afternoon. Areas off the Caprock have a 10 to 20 percent chance of reaching 95 degrees or warmer per the NBM probs. These warm afternoon temps in the upper 80s continue into Sun as well. Will most likely see overnight lows back in the 50s across the southeastern third to half of the FA again Sat into Sun with the ridge building overhead. 36 && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1129 PM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025 VFR conditions expected to prevail over the next 24 hours. Light winds will be variable through about 09Z when they become predominately westerly. Winds should continue to be around 10 kts or less but northerly between 18Z and 00Z Tuesday. A few high clouds should diminish over the next 6 hours. 36 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Amarillo TX 65 38 77 48 / 0 0 0 0 Beaver OK 69 35 82 45 / 0 0 0 0 Boise City OK 65 34 79 45 / 0 0 0 0 Borger TX 69 39 81 49 / 0 0 0 0 Boys Ranch TX 67 37 80 45 / 0 0 0 0 Canyon TX 65 37 77 46 / 0 0 0 0 Clarendon TX 67 39 78 50 / 0 0 0 0 Dalhart TX 66 33 79 43 / 0 0 0 0 Guymon OK 67 34 81 45 / 0 0 0 0 Hereford TX 65 34 78 45 / 0 0 0 0 Lipscomb TX 69 38 79 47 / 0 0 0 0 Pampa TX 66 40 77 50 / 0 0 0 0 Shamrock TX 68 37 78 46 / 0 0 0 0 Wellington TX 67 37 78 46 / 0 00 0 && .AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. OK...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...36 LONG TERM....36 AVIATION...36