FXUS64 KAMA 070511 AFDAMA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Amarillo TX 1211 AM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 220 PM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025 - Below freezing overnight temperatures are forecast for tonight across the Panhandles. - Near to above average temperatures and dry conditions are likely through next weekend. && .SHORT TERM ... (This evening through Monday night) Issued at 220 PM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025 Northerly flow prevails over the Panhandles according to the latest H500 RAP analysis as the trough associated with the low pressure system that brought winter weather to the region exits to the east. Skies have cleared at this point and temperatures have begun to rebound into the upper 40s to low 50s and all locations should reach the 50s for highs today. Even though some locations received 5+ inches of snow, the snow has quickly gone away for most areas and should be completely gone by tonight or early tomorrow. With that being said, snowpack will not have any impacts on temperatures for today or tomorrow. Given temperatures only reaching the 50s today and with clear skies tonight, temperatures should once again drop down below freezing for overnight lows. Temperatures should rise to slightly below average for tomorrow as surface high pressure remains over the area. This will lead to a rather nice spring day, with highs in the 60s, light northerly winds around 10 mph, and clear skies. Some locations may once again drop down to near freezing on Monday night as we will have good radiational cooling due to clear skies and light winds. Muscha && .LONG TERM ... (Tuesday through next Saturday) Issued at 220 PM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025 Broad upper level ridging is forecast to prevail across the western CONUS through the long term forecast period. This would lead to northwesterly to northerly flow over the CWA through the remainder of the work week. A low pressure system should dig southward from the Northern Plains towards the Midwest, just to the east of the CWA. This feature should bring a weak front down the Plains with a subtle cooldown on Thursday. Highs Tuesday through Friday look to be in the 70s even with the cooldown on Thursday that will likely be unnoticeable. The upper level ridge axis should shift eastward and be oriented across the Plains this weekend which will lead to increasing temperatures into the 80s if not some 90s. Temperatures will likely remain above average during this time frame with dry conditions across the Panhandles. Muscha && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1129 PM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025 VFR conditions expected to prevail over the next 24 hours. Light winds will be variable through about 09Z when they become predominately westerly. Winds should continue to be around 10 kts or less but northerly between 18Z and 00Z Tuesday. A few high clouds should diminish over the next 6 hours. 36 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Amarillo TX 30 65 37 77 / 0 0 0 0 Beaver OK 27 69 35 81 / 0 0 0 0 Boise City OK 29 65 35 78 / 0 0 0 0 Borger TX 30 69 38 81 / 0 0 0 0 Boys Ranch TX 29 67 36 79 / 0 0 0 0 Canyon TX 27 65 35 77 / 0 0 0 0 Clarendon TX 31 66 39 78 / 0 0 0 0 Dalhart TX 27 66 33 78 / 0 0 0 0 Guymon OK 27 67 34 80 / 0 0 0 0 Hereford TX 27 64 34 77 / 0 0 0 0 Lipscomb TX 30 68 37 79 / 0 0 0 0 Pampa TX 30 66 39 78 / 0 0 0 0 Shamrock TX 30 68 37 77 / 0 0 0 0 Wellington TX 30 67 37 77 / 0 00 0 && .AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. OK...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...05 LONG TERM....05 AVIATION...36