FXUS64 KAMA 061129

AFDAMA



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Amarillo TX

629 AM CDT Wed May 6 2026



...New AVIATION...



.KEY MESSAGES...

Issued at 1151 PM CDT Tue May 5 2026



- Showers are likely in the northern combined panhandles on 

  Wednesday. 



- Sub-freezing temperatures are expected on Thursday morning in 

  the northwestern CWA, reaching as low as the mid-20's. 



&&



.SHORT TERM...

(Tonight through Thursday night)

Issued at 1151 PM CDT Tue May 5 2026



Light rainfall could linger in the Oklahoma Panhandle tonight, 

however, rain will likely move out or become isolated by the early 

morning hours of Wednesday. Although isolated showers may be 

possible throughout the day on Wednesday (especially in the OK 

Panhandle and northern TX Panhandle), the primary chances for 

precipitation will begin around the late afternoon. Highest chances 

for rainfall are in the OK and northern TX Panhandles, with light 

precipitation expected. Precipitation accumulations greater than 

0.2" will likely be constrained to the far north CWA. In the far NW 

CWA some mixed precipitation is possible, however this depends on if 

temperature falls and precipitation timing line up into the 

nighttime hours of Wednesday into Thursday.



Low temperatures are expected to approach freezing in the northern 

CWA Wednesday morning, likely surpassing freezing into the high 20's 

on Thursday morning. High confidence in sub-freezing temperatures 

for Cimarron and Dallam counties have prompted a Freeze Warning to 

be issued for Thursday morning. Uncertainties regarding how 

precipitation and cloud coverage has prompted the Freeze Watch to 

remain in place for the rest of the area. High temperatures for 

Wednesday will range from mid-40's in the far Northern CWA to the 

low-70's in the far southern CWA, warming back up on Thursday with 

widespread high temperatures in the high-60's to low-70's. 



Ferguson



&&



.LONG TERM...

(Friday through next Tuesday)

Issued at 1151 PM CDT Tue May 5 2026



Friday and Saturday are expected to warm back up, with high 

temperatures reaching back into the 90's for most of the CWA by 

Saturday. This is before a cold front passes through the area on 

Sunday, knocking high temperatures back down into the 70's and 80's. 

After Sunday however, temperatures will likely rebound quickly and 

create seasonally warm conditions through the beginning of the week 

before low pressure builds into the Panhandles on Tuesday, shifting 

winds from SW to N and knocking temperatures down again. 



Ferguson



&&



.AVIATION...

(12Z TAFS)

Issued at 624 AM CDT Wed May 6 2026



MVFR/IFR conditions will likely be in play for the majority of the

TAF period. KAMA may get a little bit of a break and go VFR from

18-00z. On and off showers will be possible at KDHT and KGUY for

most of the TAF period, with KAMA's best chances in the 21-03z

time period. Winds mainly 10 to 15 kts out of the northeast going

more variable toward the end of the TAF period. 



Weber



&&



.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

TX...Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Thursday for TXZ001.



     Freeze Watch from late tonight through Thursday morning for 

     TXZ002>004-006.



OK...Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Thursday for OKZ001.



     Freeze Watch from late tonight through Thursday morning for 

     OKZ002-003.



&&



$$



SHORT TERM...23

LONG TERM....23

AVIATION...89