FXUS63 KPAH 250430

AFDPAH



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Paducah KY

1130 PM CDT Fri Oct 24 2025



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Dry conditions with seasonably cool temperatures will 

  continue tonight into most of Saturday across the great 

  majority of the area. 



- A couple of disturbances will bring rain chances Sunday

  through Wednesday, with best chances forecast on Sunday and

  Tuesday. High temperatures will be 5-10 degrees below normal.



- Drier but continued cool conditions are forecast for the end

  of next week...including Halloween.



&&



.DISCUSSION...

Issued at 142 PM CDT Fri Oct 24 2025



As surface low pressure slowly organizes over the southern Great

Plains, mid- and high-level cloud cover will continue to slowly

increase in coverage across the region. However, surface

pressure over the central Appalachians will funnel dry easterly

surface winds into the region tonight through most of the

Saturday. This will keep the great majority of the region dry

until Sunday (with the exception of the Ozark Foothills, where

some sprinkles or very light showers are possible). Temperatures

will be around normal values for this time period. 



Rain shower coverage will ramp up in earnest Sunday as the

surface low slowly passes just south of there region. After a

relative lull in coverage Monday, a secondary disturbance will

bring another round of rain showers Tuesday into Tuesday night.

Rainfall totals by Wednesday will be fairly modest, ranging from

0.75" to 1.50", with the highest amounts near the KY/TN border

and the lowest totals near Interstate 64. The abundance of 

cloud cover and precipitation will keep temperatures suppressed 

during the daytime and relatively mild at night, with lows in 

the 45-50F range and highs reaching 55-60F. 



The region will finally begin to dry out Wednesday night into

Thursday as cool, Canadian high pressure moves south into the

Great Lakes. However, high temperatures will remain slightly

below normal by 5-10 degrees, with highs of 55-60F and lows of

37-42F for the end of the work week (and Halloween next Friday).



&&



.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/...

Issued at 1130 PM CDT Fri Oct 24 2025



VFR conditions are expected tonight with light winds and a high

overcast. Very light rain is possible through the day but enough

rain to result in noteworthy visibility reductions appear

unlikely through this TAF period.



&&



.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

IL...None.

MO...None.

IN...None.

KY...None.



&&



$$



DISCUSSION...DWS

AVIATION...JGG