FXUS63 KPAH 190500

AFDPAH



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Paducah KY

1200 AM CDT Thu Mar 19 2026



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Expect a significant warming trend the rest of the week, with

  temperatures around 20 degrees above normal by the weekend.



- A late weekend cold front will bring a few sprinkles or light

  showers to mainly northeast portions of the region late 

  Sunday night, with temperatures Monday falling back to a 

  little below normal.



- Another warming trend will begin Tuesday.



&&



.UPDATE...

Issued at 1158 PM CDT Wed Mar 18 2026



Updated the aviation section for the 06Z TAF issuance.



&&



.DISCUSSION...

Issued at 1258 PM CDT Wed Mar 18 2026



A significant warming trend will begin today and continue through 

the weekend with fairly persistent south to southwest winds across 

the middle Mississippi and lower Ohio valleys.  After near seasonal 

values today, readings will be 15 to 20 degrees above normal 

Saturday, and around 20+ degrees above normal Sunday in the 

lower to middle 80s. There will be occasional increases in 

clouds due to some weak perturbations in the upper flow, but 

overall there will be quite a bit of sunshine each day through 

Sunday.



Models bring a cold front through our region late Sunday into Sunday 

night. The model blend now produces 15-20% chances of light

showers/sprinkles late Sunday night across mainly southwest 

Indiana, adjacent portions of southeast Illinois and northwest 

Kentucky. Due to lacking moisture, rainfall amounts will be a 

trace to a couple of hundredths at best. More significantly,

high temperatures Monday will be 20 to 25 degrees cooler than 

Sunday. Temperatures behind the front will be around 5 degrees 

below normal Monday into Monday night.



Another warming trend will begin Tuesday, as winds gradually

shift to the east then south Tuesday into Wednesday.

Temperatures will already be back to 5 to 10 degrees above 

normal by Wednesday.



&&



.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/...

Issued at 1158 PM CDT Wed Mar 18 2026



VFR conditions continue through the TAF period. Light winds

tonight only increase to around 5kts tomorrow before calming

again during the evening. BKN high clouds move through during

the overnight hours, with SCT 8-10kft clouds midday, before

becoming mostly clear in the evening.



&&



.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

IL...None.

MO...None.

IN...None.

KY...None.



&&



$$



UPDATE...ATL

DISCUSSION...RST

AVIATION...ATL