FXUS63 KPAH 071705

AFDPAH



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Paducah KY

1205 PM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Considerable to catastrophic flooding continues across the

  area due to historically high weekly rainfall amounts of over

  one foot in places, flooding homes and businesses. 



- Below to well below normal temperatures and mostly dry

  conditions for the first half of the new week. This includes

  expected freezing temperatures the coldest night, tonight,

  with a Freeze Watch now upgraded to a Freeze Warning.



&&



.DISCUSSION...

Issued at 200 AM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025



Finally we're seeing the end to endless rain as drier/colder air

settles in with the arrival of high pressure. The heart of the 

cold comes tonight, when freezing temperatures are forecast at 

some location in every one of our 58 counties. The coldest 

temperatures will be in the mid 20s in our north, with the 

warmest, near 32F, in our south, near the TN/AR borders. This

has been a very consistent and strong daily ensemble signal.



Today's highs near 60 will, having that cold start to the day

Tuesday, struggle to reach into the 50s tomorrow. We start to

warm up a little toward more seasonal numbers Wednesday, and

that's when our next chance of rain/storms is incoming...sticking

around for Wednesday-Thursday...with another dry spell after 

that. Seasonally mild temperatures stick around the rest of the 

week and on into the weekend.



&&



.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/...

Issued at 1202 PM CDT Mon Apr 7 2025



VFR conditions through this TAF package. Northwest winds this

afternoon may be gusty at times around 15-18 kts. A secondary

boundary pushes through this evening accompanied by some mid

cloud bases. Winds turn more northerly and eventually

northeasterly with time through the night into tomorrow. Looks

like a 3 to 4 hour window this evening that we may mix some

gusts of 15-20 kts down to the surface as the boundary drifts

southward.



&&



.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

IL...Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 9 AM CDT Tuesday for 

     ILZ075>078-080>094.

MO...Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 9 AM CDT Tuesday for 

     MOZ076-086-087-100-107>112-114.

IN...Freeze Warning from midnight CDT /1 AM EDT/ tonight to 9 AM 

     CDT /10 AM EDT/ Tuesday for INZ081-082-085>088.

KY...Freeze Warning from midnight tonight to 9 AM CDT Tuesday for 

     KYZ001>022.



&&



$$



DISCUSSION...DH

AVIATION...SP