FXUS63 KOAX 211759

AFDOAX



Area Forecast Discussion

National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE

1259 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026



.KEY MESSAGES...



- Very high to extreme fire danger continues Saturday afternoon

  into Sunday.



- A cold front Sunday morning brings northerly wind gusts of 35

  to 45 mph. Winds will decrease during the afternoon and

  evening.



- Above normal temperatures continue early next week with

  another warming trend through at least mid-week. Dry

  conditions are anticipated with precipitation chances unlikely

  at this time.



&&



.DISCUSSION...

Issued at 1259 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026



Saturday and Sunday



Record warmth remains on track for this afternoon. This record-

warmth is supported by a massive area of high pressure over the 

Desert Southwest. Temperatures in the low 90s are likely to break a 

slew of records from 1907 across the area. On top of the hot 

conditions, it is going to be exceptionally dry with relative 

humidity falling into the teens and single digits by mid-afternoon. 

As a result, a Red Flag Warning continues across the region through 

this afternoon into Sunday morning. Thankfully, this level of heat 

is short-lived with a cold front anticipated during the morning 

hours on Sunday. The cold front will be strong with northerly wind 

gusts of 35 to 45 mph immediately following frontal passage. Wind 

speeds gradually decrease through the afternoon and evening on 

Sunday. Sunday's high temperatures are forecast to be 30 to nearly 

40 degrees cooler than today, Despite this substantial change, 

temperatures in the upper 50s to low 60s remain above normal. 



Next Week



Temperatures begin to warm once again heading into next week as high 

pressure builds back into the area. Temperatures climb a degree or 

two on Monday. Temperatures climb into the 60s to near 70 on Tuesday 

before climbing further into the 70s to near 80 by Wednesday. 

Alongside this heat, dry conditions are forecast once again. This 

may result in additional very high fire danger across the area. A 

cold front begins to decrease temperatures on Thursday before 

temperatures fall further on Friday. The cooler temperatures may 

last into next weekend behind this second cold front. Overall, the 

forecast remains mostly dry. While there may be a low chance of a 

shower or two with the passing fronts, it is unlikely that anyone 

will see anything meaningful. The next best chance of precipitation 

is not anticipated until late next week into next weekend.



&&



.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/...

Issued at 1217 PM CDT Sat Mar 21 2026



VFR conditions are anticipated through the TAF period.

Southwesterly winds with a few gusts this afternoon. Winds

speeds decrease slightly this evening, but low-level winds

increase due to a passing disturbance. LLWS is anticipated

during this time at OMA and LNK. A cold front swings south

through the region early Sunday morning. Strong northerly winds

are forecast behind this front with gusts upwards of 25 to 35

kts. Wind speeds begin to decrease by the end of the TAF period.



&&



.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

NE...Red Flag Warning until 4 AM CDT Sunday for NEZ011-012-015>018-

     030>034-042>045-050>053-065>068-078-088>093.

IA...Red Flag Warning until 4 AM CDT Sunday for IAZ043-055-056-069-

     079-080-090-091.



&&



$$



DISCUSSION...Chehak

AVIATION...Chehak